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FCT - Sistema de Informao de Cincia e Tecnologia // Investigadores e outros Utilizadores

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Statistical Society (SPE), Portuguese Mathematical Society (SPM), Center of International Mathematics (CIM), Universities and Polytechnics,among other institutions. In particular we refer to the editorial support given by senior members of CEAUL to REVSTAT Statistical Journal, anInternational Journal in the area of Probability and Statistics in English, edited by INE; the production of the Portuguese Statistical Glossary andthe edition of the SPE newsletter, both as part of the joint activities with SPE. In the teaching of Statistics at non-university level, somecollaborators of the center had a prominent role in ALEA project (http://alea-estp.ine.pt/, jointly with INE), and their activity was recognized asa landmark in improving the teaching of Statistics at secondary school level. Also, several members were involved in the revision of basic andsecondary school books of Mathematics (Probability and Statistics) and in producing documentation for teachers. The International Year ofStatistics was celebrated during 2013. CEAUL was one of the participating Institutions in the celebrations. Hence several activities were carriedto celebrate the event. Other type of services to community developed within the groups are described in sections 4.1.5, 4.3.5 and 4.3.6 of thedocument CEAUL_2011_2012_2013_REPORT.pdf

Objectivos atingidos

1. Dissemination of research: Scientific production was far above what was expected and this was one of the main achievements during 2011-2013. CEAULs members made a special effort in order to publish their work on the mainstream high quality journals in each field and todisseminate their main results in well recognized international meetings. There was also a substantial increase in the participation ininternational conferences. Research topics set on the general objectives of the different research groups were, in general, all tackled andsubjected to publication. 2. Interaction of research: There was a direct evidence of interaction between the theoretical and applied componentsof the work. Moreover, there has been a considerable effort on theoretical issues reinforced with involvement in applications to real world.During 2011-2013 members of CEAUL actively collaborated with researchers from several research institutions in different fields, resulting ininternational publications either in periodicals from the area of Statistics or in periodicals from specialized areas in other fields. The motivatingproblems of collaboration were on diverse areas such as: health, forest fires, ecology, fisheries, chemical production, radioactivity, qualitycontrol, insurance, finance, and education. 3. Reinforcement: There has been a new reinforcement in some branches, as for instance: PORTmethods in Extreme Values, Internet Auction Markets, History of Probability and Statistics in Portugal in the early XXth century, Teaching ofStatistics with Documentation for Teachers in collaboration with INEs Alea Project, Quantification of Regional Risk of Large Wildfire Sizes, Studyof the Evolution of the Human Resources of the Faculty of Sciences of Lisbon, Theoretical Issues in Applications with Genome Analysis,Statistical Models to Genetics and Epidemiological Data, Optimal Screening Methods in Gene Profile Classification, Missing Data and CategoricalData Analysis. 4. Projects: Integration of the research teams of international projects, such as (i) the DEEPFISHMAN project, regarding theBlack scabbard fish abundance estimate in the Portuguese coastal waters; (ii) the project STRENGTHENING INTERNATIONAL COOPERATIONOF THE KLIMATEXT RESEARH TEAM, an EU Project with structural funds through the Czeck ministry of Education; (iii) the FP7 Europeanproject PERSSILAA on PERsonalised ICT Supported Service for Independent Living and Active Ageing, which started in October 2013. Otherprojects were on the data support centre of MalariaGEN - Genomic Epidemiology Network of Malaria; the Spanish Biostatistics Net namedBIOSTATNET; the project Bayesian analysis of stochastic complex systems: methodological aspects and applications approved in theframework of bilateral agreement FCT(Portugal)/CAPES(Brazil). 5. Software development: Members of the center were involved in softwaredevelopment: the R package bild a package for Binary Longitudinal Data, developed by Gonalves, H., Cabral, S. and Azzalini, A.; and thepackage ACD: Categorical data analysis with complete or missing responses, developed by Paulino CD and collaborators, are already madeavailable to the R community. 6. Internationalization: International recognition on the areas of statistics of extremes, Environmental Statistics,Bayesian Statistics, Time Series and Biostatistics was also a main achievement during the past five years. This recognition is well manifestedparticularly through (i) publications with international researchers, (ii) invitations to give talks in International Conferences and to organizethematic sessions, (iii) invitations to present seminars in well recognized international institutions, (iii) participation as associated editors ofinternational periodicals. 7. Advanced Training: Besides the natural involvement in the current Ph.D. programs available in the variety ofInstitutions that CEAUL members belong to, CEAUL organized advanced courses on emerging areas of Statistics for researchers and advancedstudents from all over the country, as well as courses on more general areas of Statistics, for researchers and Ph.D. students who want to learnmore about some specific subject. These courses attracted many researchers all over the country and increased the recognition of CEAUL as aleader of Statistics in the Portuguese scene. 8. Consultancy and Service to Community: Members of group 1 were involved in consultancyactivities with the Portuguese Institute of Quality (Instituto Portugus da Qualidade) and Auto-Europa, introducing in the industry some of therecent developed robust methods in Statistical Process Control (SPC). They participated at SPMet/RELACRE boards in the areas of Metrologyand Competititivity at Industry, with CIM (Companhia Industrial da Matola, Mozambique), on the application of experimental design techniquesand statistical control in the production of cookies. It is also worth mentioning the industry contacts they kept with the company Extruverde-SA, on nitriding aluminium, with AMORIM & IRMOS S.A., on the development of sampling plans for detection of specific composites at corksstoppers, and with CES, in pharmaceutical issues. The Coordinator of CEAUL acted as consultant for the project led by the consortium Siemens?Joint Commission International (JC) towards the development of a National Health Care Evaluation System in Portugal (SINAS SistemaNacional de Avaliao em Sade), in response to a challenge set by the Portuguese Health Regulatory Authority. Ana Luisa Papoila gaveconsultancy support to the Research Unit of Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Central (CHLC) as co-head of the Epidemiology and StatisticsConsulting Core. Also CEAUL under the protocol of cooperation with EXIGO consultores, members of CEAUL, were involved in a research projectaimed to assess the financing system of the public hospitals belonging to the Portuguese National Health Service. The report of this project wasused by the Portuguese Court of Auditors in its final report audit. 9. Outreached activities: Important for the scientific community in generalwas the release of the new version of English-Portuguese Statistical Glossary through the sites of Portuguese Statistical Society and BrazilianStatistical Association (http://glossario.spestatistica.pt/) and Glossrio de Termos Estatsticos (Alemo-Portugus-Alemo, Francs-Portugus-Francs, Ingls-Portugus-Ingls), edited by the . Instituto Nacional de Estattica Also REVSTAT Statistical Journal(http://www.ine.pt/revstat/inicio.html), whose editor is Ivette Gomes and co-editor Antnia Turkman, gained international recognition by beingincluded in SCOPUS and ISI web of knowledge. Luclia Carvalho was the Leader of the Working Group of the National Statistical Institute (INE)on Labor Force Survey Implementation of Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing /CATI.

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Realizao Financeira (justificao sumria dos desvios ocorridos durante a execuo do projecto)

Human Resources: 0,00 Missions: 5.451,87 Consultants: 4.889,50 Acquisition of goods and services: -2.959,52 Equipment: -7.327,39 TOTAL:54,46 The unused balance of 5.451,87 Euros, observed in missions, was due to the fact that the per diem paid in 2012 to researchers whowere retired were not accepted by FCT and the money was not allocated afterwards for missions in 2013. The unused balance of 4.889,50Euros in consultants was due to the fact that two researchers who were supposed to come to CEAUL to give a seminar and work withresearchers of group 3 during November and December, namely Andreia Riebler and Dolores Ugarte, decided to postpone the visit to 2014. Thenegative balance of -2.959,52 observed in Acquisition of goods and services was due to the investment of CEAUL in the realization of eventsunder the ambit of the International Ye