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[REVISTA DEBATES, Porto Alegre, v. 8, n. 1, p. 13-29, jan.-abr. 2014] Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 Presidential Election Personalidade, Comportamento Político e Visões Políticas sobre a Eleição Presidencial no México em 2012 Alejandro Moreno Sergio C. Wals Abstract Keywords Resumo Palavras-chave

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Page 1: Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views …departamentodecienciapolitica.itam.mx/sites/default/...[REVISTA DEBATES, Porto Alegre, v. 8, n. 1, p. 13-29, jan.-abr. 2014]

[REVISTA DEBATES, Porto Alegre, v. 8, n. 1, p. 13-29, jan.-abr. 2014]

Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about

Mexico’s 2012 Presidential Election

Personalidade, Comportamento Político e Visões Políticas sobre a Eleição Presidencial no México em 2012

Alejandro Moreno

Sergio C. Wals

Abstract

Keywords

Resumo

Palavras-chave

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14 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals

Introduction

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Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 15

Dimensions of Personality

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16 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals

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Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 17

Data

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18 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals

Dependent Variables

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Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 19

Model Specification and Expectations

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20 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals

Results

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Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 21

Table 1 – A model of turnout: The role of personality traits (Logistic regression)

Levels of significance: *p<.05; **p<.01; ***p<.001

Source: Comparative National Elections Project in the 2012 Mexican presidential election.

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22 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals

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Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 23

Figure 1 – Predicted probabilities of turnout (constructed indicator), by personality and

intensity of partisanship

Source: Comparative National Elections Project in the 2012 Mexican presidential election.

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24 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals

Table 2 – A model of political discussion: The role of personality traits (OLS regression)

Levels of significance: *p<.05; **p<.01; ***p<.001

Source: Comparative National Elections Project in the 2012 Mexican presidential election.

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Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 25

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26 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals

Table 3 – A model of political views towards electoral integrity: The role of personality

traits. (OLS regression)

Levels of significance: *p<.05; **p<.01; ***p<.001

Source: Comparative National Elections Project in the 2012 Mexican presidential election.

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Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 27

Conclusions

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28 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals

Alejandro Moreno é Professor do Departamento de Ciência Política do Instituto Tecnológico Autônomo do México. E-mail:

[email protected]

Sergio C. Wals é Professor Assistente do Departamento de Ciência Política e Instituto de Estudos Étnicos da Universidade de

Nebrasca. E-mail: [email protected]

References

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Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 29

Texto recebido em 17 de dezembro 2013.

Aprovado em 25 de março de 2014.

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