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[REVISTA DEBATES, Porto Alegre, v. 8, n. 1, p. 13-29, jan.-abr. 2014]
Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about
Mexico’s 2012 Presidential Election
Personalidade, Comportamento Político e Visões Políticas sobre a Eleição Presidencial no México em 2012
Alejandro Moreno
Sergio C. Wals
Abstract
Keywords
Resumo
Palavras-chave
14 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals
Introduction
Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 15
Dimensions of Personality
16 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals
Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 17
–
Data
18 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals
Dependent Variables
Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 19
Model Specification and Expectations
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20 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals
Results
Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 21
Table 1 – A model of turnout: The role of personality traits (Logistic regression)
Levels of significance: *p<.05; **p<.01; ***p<.001
Source: Comparative National Elections Project in the 2012 Mexican presidential election.
22 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals
Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 23
Figure 1 – Predicted probabilities of turnout (constructed indicator), by personality and
intensity of partisanship
Source: Comparative National Elections Project in the 2012 Mexican presidential election.
24 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals
Table 2 – A model of political discussion: The role of personality traits (OLS regression)
Levels of significance: *p<.05; **p<.01; ***p<.001
Source: Comparative National Elections Project in the 2012 Mexican presidential election.
Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 25
26 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals
Table 3 – A model of political views towards electoral integrity: The role of personality
traits. (OLS regression)
Levels of significance: *p<.05; **p<.01; ***p<.001
Source: Comparative National Elections Project in the 2012 Mexican presidential election.
Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 27
Conclusions
28 | Alejandro Moreno e Sergio C. Wals
Alejandro Moreno é Professor do Departamento de Ciência Política do Instituto Tecnológico Autônomo do México. E-mail:
Sergio C. Wals é Professor Assistente do Departamento de Ciência Política e Instituto de Estudos Étnicos da Universidade de
Nebrasca. E-mail: [email protected]
References
Personality, Political Behavior, and Political Views about Mexico’s 2012 | 29
Texto recebido em 17 de dezembro 2013.
Aprovado em 25 de março de 2014.