Oportunidades para a Produo de Leite no Brasil
Rodrigo Sant`Anna AlvimPresidente da Comisso Nacional
de Pecuria de Leite da CNA
Cuiab, 08 de maio de 2006
Oportunidades para a Produo de Leite no Brasil
Cuiab, 08 de maio de 2006
Rodrigo Sant`Anna Alvim
Presidente da Comisso Nacional
de Pecuria de Leite da CNA
Apresentao
Cenrio atual;
Potencial de crescimento da produo;
Desafios ao aumento da competitividade:
Mercado interno;
Mercado internacional;
Propostas de Polticas para o Setor;
Cenrio Atual
Produo de Leite sob inspeo
(ms a ms)
Fonte: IBGE
2005/04 Crescimento de 11,87%
Brasil
Produo de Leite Sob Inspeo no Brasil
(Mil litros)
Ano199719981999200020012002200320042005Var. %Var. %Var. %Var. %Var. %
Ms2001/20002002/20012003/20022003/20042004/2005
Jan958,1431,030,3201,028,9561,083,7101,193,4071,195,8661,275,4571,294,2091,436,93810.12%0.21%6.66%1.47%11.03%
Fev825,195881,126893,2821,001,4751,008,1551,047,9831,103,4511,165,9301,248,3940.67%3.95%5.29%5.66%7.07%3,618,315
Mar863,303905,385940,534988,1881,060,5501,078,6191,141,9711,158,1761,279,6897.32%1.70%5.87%1.42%10.49%9.58%3,965,021
Abr801,042820,389874,957899,8571,004,6221,060,8081,057,0161,070,2701,257,14711.64%5.59%-0.36%1.25%17.46%
Mai809,520832,587879,926901,8611,014,8581,063,7121,048,2041,110,9641,290,51612.53%4.81%-1.46%5.99%16.16%3,284,771
Jun789,274825,582847,894861,0981,049,4351,039,8751,035,4381,103,5371,305,49021.87%-0.91%-0.43%6.58%18.30%17.3%3,853,153
Jul880,115869,001909,341918,2721,107,7551,064,1541,077,4771,183,94520.63%-3.94%1.25%9.88%
Ago874,358916,544922,791968,7941,117,5041,100,0781,098,9791,185,05115.35%-1.56%-0.10%7.83%
Set857,648924,670898,4721,024,0311,102,8501,058,9131,078,3751,182,1427.70%-3.98%1.84%9.62%
Out983,480969,400935,4731,123,0151,169,0421,117,0721,171,3171,256,0874.10%-4.45%4.86%7.24%
Nov998,307994,168965,1511,132,0151,176,9271,146,8841,218,4051,348,9353.97%-2.55%6.24%10.71%
Dez1,047,8941,026,2011,042,1531,205,4251,207,6051,248,2521,331,2801,443,3200.18%3.37%6.65%8.42%
Total 10 Semestre5,046,4775,295,3895,465,5495,736,1896,331,02710.37%-100.00%0.00%
Total 1 Semestre6,331,0276,486,8636,661,5376,903,0867,818,1742.46%2.69%3.63%13.26%
Total anual10,688,27910,995,37311,138,93012,107,74113,212,71013,222,21613,637,37014,502,5669.13%0.07%3.14%6.34%
Total Geral18,666,01018,693,91419,070,04819,767,20620,509,95321,643,740
Diferena7,977,7317,698,5417,931,1187,659,4657,297,2438,421,524
% leite formal57%59%58%61%64%61%
Fonte: IBGE - Pesquisa Trimestral do Leite - Resultados Mensais
Grf1
1.2767541.2943951.440958
1.0984931.1658891.251277
1.1362181.1588931.281981
1.0564081.07051.263925
1.0480791.1111981.297287
1.035421.1008331.313438
1.0774771.1830611.357299
1.0989791.1845321.362022
1.0783751.1816511.333198
1.1713171.2465311.417272
1.2184051.3449611.427508
1.331281.4523531.4693
&A
Page &P
2003
2004
2005
(biles de litros)
Plan2
20012002200320042005200320042005
jan1,193,4071,195,5371,276,7541,294,3951,440,958jan1.31.31.4
fev1,008,1551,047,6971,098,4931,165,8891,251,277fev1.11.21.3
mar1,060,5501,078,3251,136,2181,158,8931,281,981mar1.11.21.3
abr1,004,6221,060,8081,056,4081,070,5001,263,925abr1.11.11.3
mai1,014,8581,063,7121,048,0791,111,1981,297,287mai1.01.11.3
jun1,049,4351,039,8751,035,4201,100,8331,313,438jun1.01.11.3
jul1,107,7551,064,1541,077,4771,183,0611,357,299jul1.11.21.4
ago1,117,5041,100,0781,098,9791,184,5321,362,022ago1.11.21.4
set1,102,8501,058,9131,078,3751,181,6511,333,198set1.11.21.3
out1,169,0421,117,0721,171,3171,246,5311,417,272out1.21.21.4
nov1,176,9271,146,8841,218,4051,344,9611,427,508nov1.21.31.4
dez1,207,6051,248,2521,331,2801,452,3531,469,300dez1.31.51.5
PTL 2004.05
Tabela 599 - Quantidade de leite cru ou resfriado adquirido
Varivel = Quantidade de Leite Cru ou Resfriado Adquirido (Mil litros)
Brasil e Unidade da Federao
Jan-04Feb-04Mar-04Apr-04May-04Jun-04Jul-04Aug-04Sep-04jan/set 2004Jan-05Feb-05Mar-05Apr-05May-05Jun-05Jul-05Aug-05Sep-05Jan/set 2005Variao
Brasil1,294,2091,165,9301,158,1761,070,2701,110,9641,103,5371,183,9451,185,0511,182,14210,454,2241,440,8241,251,1811,281,9621,262,6301,296,2841,312,3841,356,0471,360,4311,331,88611,893,62913.77%
Rondnia50,07341,17536,55635,65941,40041,86643,68439,19642,830372,43956,53046,58145,41144,42147,55946,04537,18337,94937,643399,3227.22%
Acre9307786986477438641,0121,0201,0697,7619657697606927428831,0887897147,402-4.63%
Amazonas504851525352555144456321933333129312834270-40.79%
Roraima353638323032313030294161032384130---167-43.20%
Par17,07213,73313,53613,83614,95118,20318,25317,58818,710145,88219,63717,35717,10816,93518,54220,29917,28615,86814,559157,5918.03%
Tocantins7,4886,3205,7905,7375,7526,2776,2785,2985,82054,7608,0057,4526,8487,1157,4127,7037,0045,7964,28261,61712.52%
Norte581,592626,3697.70%
Maranho4,0153,6363,5793,4254,1203,9843,8873,6443,79834,0884,1553,9284,3964,1004,2144,1153,8992,9782,78034,5651.40%
Piau1,1031,1041,3611,2161,2681,3011,3191,2611,37911,3121,3141,2621,2331,3081,3031,4461,4961,6161,59512,57311.15%
Cear4,9315,8046,8736,0456,7337,5728,0358,1148,01362,1209,3658,6368,5619,99011,1129,1739,64010,00510,50286,98440.03%
Rio Grande do Norte5,6865,9416,4186,3316,6086,2316,3836,3626,31856,2786,7656,2406,7486,4176,2786,2356,2886,4726,28757,7302.58%
Paraba1,9162,2212,5442,6732,7462,7202,9643,0313,02423,8393,1923,0253,3123,3673,4143,2403,5263,7133,58630,37527.42%
Pernambuco5,8744,8605,9025,1385,8296,5898,6227,8907,30058,00411,02310,08411,07411,28811,64610,89511,61110,4399,95098,01068.97%
Alagoas8,6839,8249,1798,0297,9389,19310,0448,9667,93879,79410,34710,02610,21810,68310,69610,70110,76210,1559,34492,93216.46%
Sergipe1,8971,7511,8192,6232,9043,2313,3483,0222,90623,5014,6114,6074,5685,3595,9805,9066,1135,7235,51548,382105.87%
Bahia23,07422,42924,36819,69317,68216,81217,89315,76314,280171,99426,19526,57226,25625,66426,00125,37028,39127,50626,754238,70938.79%
Nordeste520,930700,26034.42%
Minas Gerais382,635350,040343,317311,496316,781313,062335,315318,558327,2772,998,481430,511369,708376,152357,017357,889380,448400,744386,061381,7423,440,27214.73%
Esprito Santo19,94918,43718,98818,27118,27217,10417,83016,75117,428163,03021,99819,53719,39418,43319,48419,51220,30820,44220,180179,2889.97%
Rio de Janeiro33,56626,51928,07826,07927,01526,61629,30729,48730,058256,72538,10230,39731,12130,46932,72933,55434,24737,40836,489304,51618.62%
So Paulo208,155192,142202,123194,264199,743191,062194,225201,591190,3911,773,696214,825179,901184,327185,439198,574185,579187,089196,157191,8631,723,754-2.82%
Sudeste5,191,9325,647,8308.78%
Paran103,90598,51497,46692,35290,20790,237104,817112,566105,818895,882115,260100,845108,293105,473110,077117,480119,720124,519118,2081,019,87513.84%
Santa Catarina56,81249,74248,35746,56949,42653,27256,88162,90663,942487,90766,16260,01259,75258,47160,51662,81468,54673,92673,036583,23519.54%
Rio Grande do Sul143,203123,507112,61298,254108,459124,680148,285169,524170,7701,199,294152,499136,399139,271138,357149,904158,757175,201189,313181,9341,421,63518.54%
Sul2,583,0833,024,74517.10%
Mato Grosso do Sul22,79718,95120,02818,21817,81816,03315,30514,57212,352156,07421,65320,60719,81219,56019,99419,35417,62316,64614,153169,4028.54%
Mato Grosso26,40823,14723,53021,40521,98220,43421,37920,48220,292199,05930,42726,37326,42727,58828,56327,32624,83320,94419,485231,96616.53%
Gois163,126144,452144,035131,370141,644125,260127,819116,387119,4151,213,508186,082159,810169,669173,175162,357154,122162,082154,504159,8391,481,64022.10%
Distrito Federal8258199308548628509759889378,0401,1531,0261,1881,2361,2261,3691,3351,4731,41311,41942.03%
Centro Oeste1,576,6811,894,42720.15%
Fonte: IBGE - Pesquisa Trimestral do Leite - Resultados Mensais
Produo de leite sob inspeo
(milhes de litros)
Fonte: IBGE
NORTE
Produo 2005: 823,3
Cresc. 2005/04: - 0,9%
SUL
Produo 2005: 4.172,4
Cresc. 2005/04: 16,5%
CENTRO-OESTE
Produo 2005: 2.610,1
Cresc. 2005/04: 18,1%
SUDESTE
Produo 2005: 7.665,5
Cresc. 2005/04: 6,9%
NORDESTE
Produo 2005: 944,2
Cresc. 2005/04: 33,7%
BRASIL
Produo 2005: 16.215,5
Cresc. 2005/04: 11,9%
Crescimento de 1,7 bilho de
litros em relao a 2004
MATO GROSSO
Produo 2005: 318,7
Cresc. 2005/04: 14,6%
Balana Comercial do Agronegcio Leite
Fonte: Sistema Alice
Elaborao: CNA/Decon
Saldo
Exportaes
Importaes
Graf. Balana Mensal
0.4681683652638.500991
0.6586173655735.672
1.3064873658627.313
0.8783043661723.216
0.954243664724.625
1.5750913667828.856
0.9745483670836.783
1.0845313673937.986359
0.9284223677035.578914
1.3836353680029.90678
1.2476853683130.404
1.901153686124.257
1.2149133689224.457396
0.735333692320.686032
0.8736663695116.62927
0.9690023698213.085008
1.8507223701216.59235
1.3036693704321.003094
1.7392463707317.612278
2.3896383710411.657892
4.105433713511.999636
3.572143371659.881044
3.118548371967.759632
3.157686372266.091949
8.2365833725714.406342
2.2089853728817.497244
2.6766783731617.721609
1.7984523734721.314434
2.0109093737725.421741
2.8355283740824.62791
3.9403233743832.25667
3.1950353746921.095076
2.8212423750016.159237
2.4498693753014.724022
6.0683893756121.453382
1.9588983759120.879696
2.5401593762212.93504
3.43731376539.680962
1.6882223768115.435177
1.335214377126.360388
2.5492343774210.119282
2.320697377736.266079
5.428262378036.455342
4.804029378346.357216
3.9069553786511.413593
5.8927023789510.630476
10.578955379268.932862
4.026252379567.705173
3.210565379877.56457
2.466539380183.713918
6.144762380475.323231
4.7380785.4
7.3381088.3
5.8381396.7
12.2381698.9
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Fonte: Sistema AliceElaborao: CNA/Decon
Exportao
Importao
Importao
Balana Comercial de Lcteos
Balana Mensal
ExportaoImportaoImportaoSaldo
Jan-004681680.538,500,99138.5-38.0
Feb-006586170.735,672,00035.7-35.0
Mar-0013064871.327,313,00027.3-26.0
Apr-008783040.923,216,00023.2-22.3
May-009542401.024,625,00024.6-23.7
2000Jun-0015750911.628,856,00028.9-27.3
Jul-009745481.036,783,00036.8-35.8
Aug-0010845311.137,986,35938.0-36.9
Sep-009284220.935,578,91435.6-34.7
Oct-0013836351.429,906,78029.9-28.5
Nov-0012476851.230,404,00030.4-29.2
Dec-0019011501.924,257,00024.3-22.4
Jan-0112149131.224,457,39624.5-23.2
Feb-017353300.720,686,03220.7-20.0
Mar-018736660.916,629,27016.6-15.8
Apr-019690021.013,085,00813.1-12.1
May-0118507221.916,592,35016.6-14.7
2001Jun-0113036691.321,003,09421.0-19.7
Jul-0117392461.717,612,27817.6-15.9
Aug-0123896382.411,657,89211.7-9.3
Sep-0141054304.111,999,63612.0-7.9
Oct-0135721433.69,881,0449.9-6.3
Nov-0131185483.17,759,6327.8-4.6
Dec-0131576863.26,091,9496.1-2.9
Jan-0282365838.214,406,34214.4-6.2
Feb-0222089852.217,497,24417.5-15.3
Mar-0226766782.717,721,60917.7-15.0
Apr-0217984521.821,314,43421.3-19.5
May-0220109092.025,421,74125.4-23.4
2002Jun-0228355282.824,627,91024.6-21.8
Jul-0239403233.932,256,67032.3-28.3
Aug-0231950353.221,095,07621.1-17.9
Sep-0228212422.816,159,23716.2-13.3
Oct-0224498692.414,724,02214.7-12.3
Nov-0260683896.121,453,38221.5-15.4
Dec-0219588982.020,879,69620.9-18.9
Jan-0325401592.512,935,04012.9-10.4
Feb-0334373103.49,680,9629.7-6.2
Mar-0316882221.715,435,17715.4-13.7
Apr-0313352141.36,360,3886.4-5.0
May-0325492342.510,119,28210.1-7.6
2003Jun-0323206972.36,266,0796.3-3.9
Jul-0354282625.46,455,3426.5-1.0
Aug-0348040294.86,357,2166.4-1.6
Sep-0339069553.911,413,59311.4-7.5
Oct-0358927025.910,630,47610.6-4.7
Nov-031057895510.68,932,8628.91.6
Dec-0340262524.07,705,1737.7-3.7
Jan-0432105653.27,564,5707.6-4.4
Feb-0424665392.53,713,9183.7-1.2
Mar-0461447626.15,323,2315.30.8
2004Apr-044.75.4-0.7
May-047.38.3-1.0
Jun-045.86.7-0.9
Jul-0412.28.93.3
Aug-047.68.3-0.7
Grf1
456.69.409-447.191
511.6778.105-503.572
439.9487.52-432.428
373.09913.36-359.739
177.45525.029-152.426
247.55740.2-207.357
112.29148.507-63.784
83.995.411.5
121.2130.18.9
Importaes
Exportaes
Saldo
Valor FOB (mil US$)
Balana anual
Ms
Valor FOB (mil US$)
1,9971,9981,999200020012002200320042005
Importaes456.6511.7439.9373.1177.5247.6112.383.9121.2
Exportaes9.48.17.513.425.040.248.595.4130.1
Saldo-447.2-503.6-432.4-359.7-152.4-207.4-63.811.58.9
IMP (MS A MS)
Importao de Produtos Lcteos por NCM
janeiro a dezembro
NCM: 0401 (Leite uht)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso Lquido (Kg)
1997199819992000200120022003200419971998199920002001200220032004
Janeiro3,521,9863,433,4463,203,0002,029,5711,701,0726,70733,61621,1247,939,1328,613,1229,278,0008,050,5015,729,94724,030136,11938,953
Fevereiro3,283,9083,025,3402,352,0002,398,0001,362,46979,4781,1991,5717,718,3298,331,4516,825,0009,712,0005,198,639307,4044045
Maro2,896,2984,255,0431,890,0002,041,000934,827143,54425,713111,0067,112,1669,385,1346,347,0008,143,0003,519,266553,335105,928382065
Abril4,940,3126,360,4722,591,0001,460,0001,252,059971,728146,46611,156,95813,413,5889,255,0005,656,0004,208,0543,817,170620,968
Maio6,054,8106,963,8383,343,1582,895,0001,455,501809,69571,42512,332,03214,588,33811,096,16710,133,0005,120,5143,231,467274,682
Junho6,070,2327,951,4794,008,2853,270,0001,672,546927,13342,43511,751,30616,417,78912,728,84311,417,0006,159,5414,086,327147,242
Julho8,811,6236,245,6824,337,9523,422,000710,3881,325,66023,74719,287,68812,851,40713,868,77511,609,0002,263,9245,721,44874,947
Agosto6,016,5815,426,0943,877,4133,165,226477,731826,3331,15512,186,84911,553,61412,580,1579,567,9121,324,9413,971,31043
Setembro5,028,7645,010,8153,175,2382,352,375654,629414,1456,48010,755,09111,827,29911,034,0526,193,5762,795,0981,703,47521,600
Outubro4,756,1783,646,2082,492,9412,727,719585,133433,95942,56810,821,3119,699,4179,216,5667,082,2542,729,7422,492,95896,303
Novembro4,152,8993,848,8703,060,2241,641,000611136,3598,5919,907,79310,679,35211,864,7144,494,000630699,34853,603
Dezembro1,394,0123,862,0772,900,4431,177,00018,310191,833105,5292,055,94811,080,20611,400,4063,865,00072,660951,383399,883
TOTAL56,927,60360,029,36437,231,65428,578,89110,825,2766,266,574508,924133,701123,024,603138,440,717125,494,68095,923,24339,122,95627,559,6551,931,358421,063
6,805,8946,458,7865,555,00060,528133,70122,769,62726,329,70722,450,000242,087421,063
NCM: 0402 (Leite em p)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso Lquido (Kg)
1,9971,9981,9992000200120022003200419971998199920002001200220032004
Janeiro21,988,58221,353,18425,377,00029,114,02815,927,58811,450,0638,400,3925,670,85712,936,54211,439,72614,425,91819,039,1438,172,7486,017,9015,221,3102,961,619
Fevereiro15,551,41816,686,08517,242,00026,103,00015,254,45014,308,5067,021,8532,108,0247,185,5018,664,37210,170,12716,012,0007,476,5728,023,3804,131,3231,043,426
Maro19,933,73430,987,97715,830,60118,091,00010,934,50412,893,22812,328,7262,783,7169,364,62416,228,885-14,402,35410,852,0005,335,3537,557,6136,846,6801419737
Abril33,557,06133,979,09722,465,00013,510,0008,533,20212,882,1413,178,5811,646,59117,302,53513,258,0007,533,0004,024,3687,794,7601,738,881
Maio29,176,09927,246,54533,773,83213,565,0008,740,98717,353,1356,397,74115,531,99713,713,35620,886,9107,403,0004,046,75910,977,7663,427,270
Junho26,227,22630,462,02225,421,99117,477,00013,867,11015,794,4503,470,92712,372,27916,036,41914,854,4549,079,0006,745,75610,769,8791,830,446
Julho34,101,5864,778,55729,443,34624,775,00011,568,29420,405,5853,924,48016,633,39328,995,76918,560,23912,363,0005,541,88413,677,8172,077,940
Agosto25,027,11524,337,39728,422,80926,584,9045,733,03814,524,6463,761,93412,423,7341,282,44117,023,35213,662,0332,658,67110,130,5001,937,690
Setembro2,415,8612,172,83221,085,00027,396,3957,124,90111,103,3487,319,42412,272,85311,205,69612,847,51813,616,7113,458,4027,677,5303,812,500
Outubro28,277,43621,406,92426,242,01320,812,3205,298,89811,580,5106,282,04914,487,272108,7891,679,38810,099,7562,505,5778,202,3673,281,591
Novembro18,562,42121,239,64629,974,08522,783,0003,498,68617,808,0005,542,3629,586,66812,071,90520,457,06811,096,0001,580,36912,697,8772,918,430
Dezembro13,401,58430,297,11137,591,90716,711,0004,165,97715,552,3204,185,2386,840,06317,552,99924,930,4058,276,0002,019,50110,316,4102,177,537
TOTAL268,220,123264,947,377312,869,584256,922,647110,647,635175,655,93271,813,70710,562,597131,281,517154,602,892154,691,025139,031,64353,565,960113,843,80039,401,5985,424,782
37,540,00038,039,26942,619,00027,750,97110,562,59729,486,66736,332,98310,193,69116,199,3135,424,782
NCM: 0403 (Iogurte)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso Lquido (Kg)
1,9971,9981,9992000200120022003200419971998199920002001200220032004
Janeiro215,011285,02291,54656,27371,902114,7341,789,44067,568305,43263,51578,7252,88629,44347,8093,580,65036,000
Fevereiro13,26658,238110,397050,80134,358304,8600174,53130,95181,600037,42933,176529,0270
Maro33,312133,692057,00020,540295,478990,252100,21648,368100,267028,00029,814522,0001,971,00060,900
Abril673,487129,97635,27992,00067,2001,676,500351,227476,707124,71113,48074,00038,7653,106,800558,000
Maio82,514436,585048,000121,393174,11524,26074,052329,883026,00062,107153,10018,302
Junho11,949142,25568,725114,0006,302954,353098,62374,01439,52984,0003,0001,671,3760
Julho256,533591,30442,17542,00057,8731,451,96229,377205,291777,67131,50021,00025,7002,594,57515,725
Agosto251,32314,37754,01130,21091,2431,898,2660113,94459,4853,61518,25038,5223,571,0030
Setembro85,355136,838105,07259,28045,38549,24333,78368,35379,12552,66942,6901,91725,04318,000
Outubro11,9138,02542,50324,43417,989139,96567,56865,2345,61731510,9607,094256,61536,000
Novembro9,478218,706104,42647,00019,91230,199102,20638,269196,778104,302258,23318,00061,200
Dezembro10,461130,99240,195123,00052,4241,698,5150126,16298,47116,70056,00050,4423,265,6410
TOTAL1,654,6022,286,010694,329693,197622,9648,517,6883,692,973167,7841,794,9661,940,488422,435363,811332,46615,265,1386,787,90496,900
228,277343,260201,9433,084,552167,784528,331194,733160,3256,080,67796,900
NCM: 0404 (Soro de Leite)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso Lquido (Kg)
1,9971,9981,9992000200120022003200419971998199920002001200220032004
Janeiro482,6841,514,9781,634,0001,364,2133,841,9831,686,673875,803949,956787,0001,597,9531,765,0001,801,3885,215,8882,169,8661,116,1801,453,500
Fevereiro249,013761,9441,177,0002,415,0001,588,8031,673,642892,162782,913340,1851,042,4731,418,4633,514,0001,510,2432,145,3211,023,1041,034,745
Maro733,2472,352,3812,281,0002,408,0001,869,2332,525,437880,7391,158,2771,000,8352,977,9312,891,0003,868,0002,213,4663,202,096985,7701811820
Abril1,199,3892,926,9351,897,0002,450,0001,397,6942,848,918935,2221,319,7134,003,1092,359,0003,309,0002,143,2994,331,8351,684,000
Maio672,7983,349,0242,072,0742,826,0002,705,6003,397,4031,984,586935,6154,392,5542,813,4364,275,0002,803,9405,534,6963,796,450
Junho712,7892,603,6852,474,3742,427,0002,984,9932,270,5151,355,663853,4522,850,5333,307,5723,893,0004,134,7414,038,3452,374,425
Julho1,188,0392,698,1741,821,9802,563,0002,775,1233,350,4581,323,1471,580,9313,535,9493,199,5613,927,0003,854,8805,396,8741,851,805
Agosto1,559,164267,3121,435,8372,397,4823,279,2591,374,8691,161,9611,338,542349,4832,315,5002,987,3034,797,5631,669,3802,131,100
Setembro1,189,6212,617,3892,105,1161,646,9192,873,8241,665,4321,733,4811,453,2573,031,367368,1792,780,8342,912,3192,119,2332,146,920
Outubro1,018,1971,649,3221,600,0442,994,9182,145,9471,023,9212,250,0531,269,2311,603,4322,137,3354,973,7382,614,2271,433,0903,364,600
Novembro131,0691,079,9891,261,4882,384,0002,616,7491,674,8401,712,2441,691,1551,313,1811,627,5684,171,0003,149,2222,513,0102,802,400
Dezembro543,4781,458,8132,296,1192,664,0001,543,5031,412,1112,178,90264,3821,651,5882,953,4153,628,0002,097,6122,077,2202,660,080
TOTAL9,679,48823,279,94622,056,03228,540,53229,622,71124,904,21917,283,9632,891,14612,634,29828,349,55327,156,02943,128,26337,447,40036,630,96625,936,8344,300,065
731,6972,276,9222,811,0002,648,7042,891,1462,128,0205,618,3576,074,4633,125,0544,300,065
NCM: 0405 (Manteiga)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso Lquido (Kg)
1,9971,9981,9992000200120022003200419971998199920002001200220032004
Janeiro547,309772,8742,851,0003,177,547522,098131,328716,32675,89128,828380,7751,442,0002,175,466335,48791,760590,13148,456
Fevereiro884,2291,654,787860,0002,010,000450,204631,494768,96263,256503,64183,713434,0001,433,000301,487587,265547,01636,869
Maro1,615,437134,6071,245,0001,549,000756,302309,385525,168292,737886,297623,197619,000954,000493,035294,948370,621152394
Abril2,741,9061,886,4011,759,0002,988,000498,4221,495,942791,5291,730,798864,7061,082,0001,940,000346,0321,374,646519,970
Maio666,9983,304,1752,399,808850,000207,9961,817,742439,225354,6321,863,4161,484,519556,000109,8342,127,613446,140
Junho1,509,1052,585,5171,419,9131,812,000231,3761,263,506123,130874,9681,329,884765,8721,190,00096,6811,240,992110,473
Julho1,381,4055,325,7123,199,2801,813,000313,6442,409,296129,4767,8213,083,7122,153,9411,058,000181,4102,712,24680,191
Agosto369,0113,527,6461,538,5661,358,658304,025434,797177,364189,90721,284892,325808,812135,000398,907110,150
Setembro911,6851,110,3751,175,9191,215,888198,471834,070202,515567,121550,688739,729718,89211,813834,643135,201
Outubro64,422962,1242,012,525786,842241,549328,341221,29539,846519,5021,384,546499,532172,331327,736132,558
Novembro375,951109,0171,836,1591,161,000324,342648,508218,245212,017537,5141,351,976764,000251,500703,592135,235
Dezembro353,1852,134,3572,103,3891,113,000183,906531,084534,999207,1641,092,4051,468745,000133,485583,204331,888
TOTAL11,420,64323,507,59222,400,55919,834,9354,232,33510,835,4934,848,234431,8845,603,04010,950,79612,351,37612,842,7022,568,09511,277,5523,509,574237,719
1,431,5382,427,6613,711,0002,010,456431,8841,418,7661,087,6852,495,0001,507,768237,719
NCM: 0406 (Queijos)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso Lquido (Kg)
1,9971,9981,9992000200120022003200419971998199920002001200220032004
Janeiro4,449,1194,348,8144,960,0002,759,3592,392,7531,016,8371,119,463779,1741,334,7841,459,6861,942,0001,373,649892,703334,838561,392276,509
Fevereiro6,020,2102,493,9291,800,0002,746,0001,979,305769,766691,926758,1542,150,773843,874585,0001,246,000787,432265,954306,043251,463
Maro7,786,6673,644,8643,006,0003,167,0002,113,8641,554,537684,579877,2792,688,2781,154,3681,425,0001,323,000728,517625,110313,138307659
Abril7,560,9084,955,7482,689,0002,716,0001,336,4311,439,205957,3632,584,763151,3541,121,0001,053,000443,293615,368382,206
Maio10,106,1736,758,8723,574,4054,441,0003,360,8731,869,6511,202,0453,388,3262,082,9621,513,3321,841,0001,323,126866,408494,223
Junho9,693,2828,747,0315,465,0113,756,0002,240,7673,417,9531,273,9243,097,8792,766,9912,334,3191,497,000868,6581,833,170501,175
Julho126,10111,618,0295,705,9524,168,0002,186,9563,313,7091,025,1153,972,9034,230,9472,562,7671,583,000839,8631,685,196392,430
Agosto9,704,2626,938,9823,620,9434,449,8791,772,5962,036,1651,254,8023,467,57323,8681,746,3861,764,592577,0381,177,672522,372
Setembro5,710,1236,530,0483,822,9232,908,0571,102,4262,092,9992,117,9102,132,498214,1881,934,1861,151,295334,4321,065,4231,007,936
Outubro621,4284,390,4323,007,4152,560,5471,591,5281,217,3261,766,9432,273,0951,657,5541,529,8271,030,131476,639637,376742,217
Novembro3,890,6154,134,2823,642,0572,388,0001,299,3321,155,4761,349,2141,302,2011,640,7641,869,804899,000348,952670,856530,958
Dezembro732,9275,702,8713,401,7782,469,000127,8291,493,833700,505337,0921,986,1341,490,848956,000407,652976,306235,369
TOTAL66,401,81570,263,90244,695,48438,528,84221,504,66021,377,45714,143,7892,414,60728,730,16518,212,69020,054,46915,717,6678,028,30510,753,6775,989,459835,631
10,469,3296,842,7436,760,0002,495,9682,414,6076,173,8353,457,9283,952,0001,180,573835,631
38,051,17916,601,71962,505,24673,021,39345,325,47928,335,47211,316,160
373,099,044177,455,581247,557,363112,291,59016,601,719303,068,589352,497,136340,170,014307,007,329141,065,182215,330,78883,556,72711,316,160
-54.6401736393-61.1961077298
Balana Comercial do Agronegcio Leite
Fonte: Sistema Alice
Elaborao: CNA/Decon
Janeiro a Maro de 2006
- Exportaes: US$ 37,7 milhes Cresc. 31,8%
- Importaes: US$ 34,9 milhes Cresc. 11,5%
Grf1
381698.5381699.9-1.4
382006.9382006.60.3
382317.73823116.5-8.8
382617.43826114.1-6.7
3829210.7382929.61.1
3832213.83832210.63.2
3835313.1383537.55.6
3838415383846.18.9
384127.8384127.70.1
3844318.938443117.9
384737.53847311.5-4
3850413.43850410.13.3
16.913.43.5
Exportaes
Importaes
Saldo
(US$ milhes)
Plan1
ExportaoImportaoImportaoSaldo
Jan-004681680.538,500,99138.5-38.0
Feb-006586170.735,672,00035.7-35.0
Mar-0013064871.327,313,00027.3-26.0
Apr-008783040.923,216,00023.2-22.3
May-009542401.024,625,00024.6-23.7
2000Jun-0015750911.628,856,00028.9-27.3
Jul-009745481.036,783,00036.8-35.8
Aug-0010845311.137,986,35938.0-36.9
Sep-009284220.935,578,91435.6-34.7
Oct-0013836351.429,906,78029.9-28.5
Nov-0012476851.230,404,00030.4-29.2
Dec-0019011501.924,257,00024.3-22.4
Jan-0112149131.224,457,39624.5-23.2
Feb-017353300.720,686,03220.7-20.0
Mar-018736660.916,629,27016.6-15.8
Apr-019690021.013,085,00813.1-12.1
May-0118507221.916,592,35016.6-14.7
2001Jun-0113036691.321,003,09421.0-19.7
Jul-0117392461.717,612,27817.6-15.9
Aug-0123896382.411,657,89211.7-9.3
Sep-0141054304.111,999,63612.0-7.9
Oct-0135721433.69,881,0449.9-6.3
Nov-0131185483.17,759,6327.8-4.6
Dec-0131576863.26,091,9496.1-2.9
Jan-0282365838.214,406,34214.4-6.2
Feb-0222089852.217,497,24417.5-15.3
Mar-0226766782.717,721,60917.7-15.0
Apr-0217984521.821,314,43421.3-19.5
May-0220109092.025,421,74125.4-23.4
2002Jun-0228355282.824,627,91024.6-21.8
Jul-0239403233.932,256,67032.3-28.3
Aug-0231950353.221,095,07621.1-17.9
Sep-0228212422.816,159,23716.2-13.3
Oct-0224498692.414,724,02214.7-12.3
Nov-0260683896.121,453,38221.5-15.4
Dec-0219588982.020,879,69620.9-18.9
Jan-0325401592.512,935,04012.9-10.4
Feb-0334373103.49,680,9629.7-6.2
Mar-0316882221.715,435,17715.4-13.7
Apr-0313352141.36,360,3886.4-5.0
May-0325492342.510,119,28210.1-7.6
2003Jun-0323206972.36,266,0796.3-3.9
Jul-0354282625.46,455,3426.5-1.0
Aug-0348040294.86,357,2166.4-1.6
Sep-0339069553.911,413,59311.4-7.5
Oct-0358927025.910,630,47610.6-4.7
Nov-031057895510.68,932,8628.91.6
Dec-0340262524.07,705,1737.7-3.7
Jan-0432105653.27,564,5707.6-4.4
Feb-0424665392.53,713,9183.7-1.2
Mar-0461447626.15,323,2315.30.8
2004Apr-044.75.4-0.7
May-047.38.3-1.0
Jun-045.86.7-0.9
Jul-0412.28.93.3
Aug-047.68.3-0.7
Sep-048.17.20.9
Oct-0411.18.03.1
Nov-0412.76.66.1
Dec-0414.07.66.4
Jan-0511.512.0-0.5
2005Feb-058.69.4-0.8
Mar-058.59.9-1.4
Apr-054897014.007843146.906.60.3
May-057.716.5-8.8
Jun-057.414.1-6.7
Jul-0510.79.61.1
Aug-0513.810.63.2
Sep-0513.17.55.6
Oct-0515.06.18.9
Nov-057.87.70.1
Dec-0518.911.07.9
Jan-067.511.5-4.0
Feb-0613.410.13.3
Mar-0616.913.43.5
Poltica Cambial
Fonte: MDIC; BCB; CEPEA/USP
Forte influncia do Cmbio:
- Produo;
- Importao;
- Exportao.
Fonte: IBGE, Sistema Alice (2006 previso)
Elaborao: CNA
25,7 bilhes de Litros
520 milhes de litros
Perspectivas para 2006
500 milhes de litros
Grf2
265911205.78212760
32316536.55310980
165410593.13711360
10955504.02510560
22948457.06710480
24304963.76110350
51254493.03810770
45184701.35510980
39417142.15710780
41757653.26911710
93696501.82612180
39475804.75713310
25264815.03712940
22322366.54811650
43184134.57511580
35863750.81310700
49465603.55711100
46274409.23511030
75546128.43211830
53735307.22811850
64684552.14511820
86974812.51212560
97444157.89713480
81635848.5814430
65546054.6214340
52766314.53412460
59095771.03912800
46104910.86111770
50409259.26212210
53718352.98712133
Exportaes
Importaes
Produo
Plan3
ExportaesImportaesProduoProduo
jan6,2068,68611,95011,95011,950
fev2,04211,36310,4701,04710,470
mar2,51512,75510,7801,07810,780
abr1,64121,04110,6001,06010,600
mai1,78522,89110,6301,06310,630
jun2,91723,64010,3901,03910,390
jul4,03531,78810,6401,06410,640
ago3,48820,91911,0001,10011,000
set3,18013,42510,5801,05810,580
out2,74213,35011,1701,11711,170
nov7,34917,30311,4601,14611,460
dez2,21818,17012,4801,24812,480
jan2,65911,20612,7601,27612,760
fev3,2316,53710,9801,09810,980
mar1,65410,59311,3601,13611,360
abr1,0955,50410,5601,05610,560
mai2,2948,45710,4801,04810,480
jun2,4304,96410,3501,03510,350
jul5,1254,49310,7701,07710,770
ago4,5184,70110,9801,09810,980
set3,9417,14210,7801,07810,780
out4,1757,65311,7101,17111,710
nov9,3696,50212,1801,21812,180
dez3,9475,80513,3101,33113,310
jan2,5264,81512,9401,29412,940
fev2,2322,36711,6501,16511,650
mar4,3184,13511,5801,15811,580
abr3,5863,75110,7001,07010,700
mai4,9465,60411,1001,11011,100
jun4,6274,40911,0301,10311,030
jul7,5546,12811,8301,18311,830
ago5,3735,30711,8501,18511,850
set6,4684,55211,8201,18211,820
out8,6974,81312,5601,25612,560
nov9,7444,15813,4801,34813,480
dez8,1635,84914,4301,44314,430
jan6,5546,05514,3401,43414,340
fev5,2766,31512,4601,24612,460
mar5,9095,77112,8001,28012,800
abr4,6104,91111,7701,17711,770
mai5,0409,25912,2101,22112,210
jun5,3718,35312,1331,21312,133
Grf3
0.05530.81680.6891
0.0282-0.62260.2179
0.055-0.36821.2208
0.06480.37090.2784
0.030.04210.0565
Produo
Importao
Exportao
Plan1
ProduoImportaoExportaoConsumo
20025.5%81.7%68.9%6.8%
20032.8%-62.3%21.8%-2.7%
20045.5%-36.8%122.1%2.3%
20056.5%37.1%27.8%5.2%
20063.0%4.2%5.7%1.8%
Plan4
Importao de Produtos Lcteos por NCM
janeiro a dezembro
1,000
NCM: 0401 (Leite uht)
MsValor FOB (Mil US$)Peso Lqido (mil Kg)
199719981999199719981999200020022003200420052,0022,0032,0042,005
Janeiro3,2033,4333,2037,9398,6139,2788,051241363908,68611,2064,8156,055
Fevereiro2,3523,0252,3527,7188,3316,8259,712307002311,3636,5372,3676,315
Maro1,8904,2551,8907,1129,3856,3478,143553106382012,75510,5934,1355,771
Abril2,5916,3602,59111,15713,4149,2555,6563,8176210021,0415,5043,7514,911
Maio3,3436,9643,34312,33214,58811,09610,1333,2312752371322,8918,4575,6049,259
Junho4,0087,9514,00811,75116,41812,72911,4174,0861471816123,6404,9644,4098,353
Julho4,3386,2464,33819,28812,85113,86911,6095,72175031,7884,4936,128
Agosto3,8775,4263,87712,18711,55412,5809,5683,97105820,9194,7015,307
Setembro3,1755,0113,17510,75511,82711,0346,1941,703229913,4257,1424,552
Outubro2,4933,6462,49310,8219,6999,2177,0822,493962713,3507,6534,813
Novembro3,0603,8493,0609,90810,67911,8654,49469954017,3036,5024,158
Dezembro2,9003,8622,9002,05611,08011,4003,8659514002818,1705,8055,849
TOTAL37,23260,02937,232123,025138,441125,49595,92327,5601,931672897
T. Parcial58,009,92370,749,42255,530,01053,111,50112,019,7331,284,979461,153896,798
Junho11,751,30616,417,78912,728,84311,417,0004,086,327147,24217,545160,795
NCM: 0402 (Leite em p)
MsValor FOB (Mil US$)Peso Lquido (Mil Kg)
1,9971,9981,99919971998199920002002200320042005
Janeiro21,98921,35325,37712,93711,44014,42619,0396,0185,2212,9624,450
Fevereiro15,55116,68617,2427,1868,66410,17016,0128,0234,1311,0432,712
Maro19,93430,98815,8319,36516,2299,13810,8527,5586,8471,4202,881
Abril33,55733,97922,46516,46617,30313,2587,5337,7951,7391,7071,411
Maio29,17627,24733,77415,53213,71320,8877,40310,9783,4272,4865,919
Junho26,22730,46225,42212,37216,03614,8549,07910,7701,8302,0454,337
Julho34,10247,78629,44316,63328,99618,56012,36313,6782,0782,756
Agosto25,02724,33728,42312,42412,82417,02313,66210,1311,9382,445
Setembro24,15921,72821,08512,27311,20612,84813,6177,6783,8132,237
Outubro28,27721,40726,24214,48710,87916,79410,1008,2023,2822,394
Novembro18,56221,24029,9749,58712,07220,45711,09612,6982,9181,850
Dezembro13,40230,29737,5926,84017,55324,9308,27610,3162,1781,824
TOTAL289,963327,510312,870146,101176,915193,346139,032113,84439,40225,17021,710
T. Parcial73,856,85383,385,29382,733,17169,918,14351,141,29923,195,91011,663,58121,710,492
Fonte: Sistema Alice
Elaborao:CBCL/OCB
Junho12,372,27916,036,41914,854,4549,079,00010,769,8791,830,4462,044,9234,337,098
NCM: 0403 (Iogurte)
MsValor FOB (Mil US$)Peso Lquido (Mil Kg)
1,9971,9981,99919971998199920002002200320042005
Janeiro21528592305647929483,581360
Fevereiro1335811017531820335290168
Maro33313404841000285221,97161300
Abril6731303547712513743,1075581837
Maio834370743300261531846118
Junho11914269997440841,67101818
Julho2575914220577832212,595160
Agosto251144541145936183,571043
Setembro8513710568795343251818
Outubro1198043655632112573668
Novembro952191043819710425186125
Dezembro105131401269817563,266086
TOTAL2,4682,4886942,2301,99148641515,2656,788833541
T. Parcial1,613,025723,341213,334240,8605,534,2616,656,979593,865540,593
Fonte: Sistema Alice
Elaborao:CBCL/CNA
Junho98,62374,01439,52984,0001,671,376018,00018,000
NCM: 0404 (Soro de Leite)
MsValor FOB (Mil US$)Peso Lquido (Mil Kg)
1,9971,9981,99919971998199920002002200320042005
Janeiro4831,5151,6347871,5981,7651,8012,1701,1161,4541,338
Fevereiro2497621,1773401,0421,4183,5142,1451,0231,0353,065
Maro7332,3522,2811,0012,9782,8913,8683,2029861,8122,278
Abril1,1992,9271,8971,3204,0032,3593,3094,3321,6841,6023,171
Maio6733,3492,0729364,3932,8134,2755,5353,7962,2192,251
Junho7132,6042,4748532,8513,3083,8934,0382,3741,8833,490
Julho1,1882,6981,8221,5813,5363,2003,9275,3971,8522,780
Agosto1,5592,6731,4361,3393,4952,3162,9871,6692,1312264
Setembro1,1902,6172,1051,4533,0313,6822,7812,1192,1471797
Outubro1,0181,6491,6001,2691,6032,1374,9741,4333,3651822
Novembro1,3111,0801,2611,6911,3131,6284,1712,5132,8021878
Dezembro5431,4592,2966441,6522,9533,6282,0772,6603476
TOTAL10,85925,68622,05613,21431,49530,47043,12836,63125,93724,02215,594
T. Parcial5,236,80016,864,55314,554,47120,660,38821,422,15910,979,92910,004,16515,593,597
Fonte: Sistema Alice
Elaborao: CBCL/OCB
Junho853,4522,850,5333,307,5723,893,0004,038,3452,374,4251,882,6953,490,488
NCM: 0405 (Manteiga)
MsValor FOB (Mil US$)Peso Lquido (Mil Kg)
1,9971,9981,99919971998199920002002200320042005
Janeiro5477732,8512883811,4422,17592590486
Fevereiro8841,6558605048374341,43358754737151
Maro1,6151,3461,24588662361995429537115228
Abril2,7421,8861,7591,7318651,0821,9401,375520789
Maio6673,3042,4003551,8631,4855562,1284462846
Junho1,5092,5861,4208751,3307661,1901,2411103932
Julho1,3815,3263,1997823,0842,1541,0582,71280282
Agosto3693,5281,5391902,12889280939911098
Setembro9121,1101,17656755174071983513570
Outubro6449622,0133985201,385500328133120
Novembro3761,0901,8362125381,35276470413579
Dezembro3532,1342,1032071,0921,468745583332109
TOTAL12,00025,70022,4016,99513,81113,81812,84311,2783,5101,141272
T. Parcial4,638,6165,899,1085,827,3918,248,4665,717,2242,584,351383,031271,619
Junho874,9681,329,884765,8721,190,0001,240,992110,47339,45331,760
NCM: 0406 (Queijos)
MsValor FOB (Mil US$)Peso Lquido (Mil Kg)4,789,507
1,9971,9981,99919971998199920002002200320042005
Janeiro4,4494,3494,9601,3351,4601,9421,374335561277260
Fevereiro6,0202,4941,8002,1518445851,246266306251196
Maro7,7873,6453,0062,6881,1541,4251,323625313308284
Abril7,5614,9562,6892,5851,5141,1211,053615382345283
Maio10,1066,7593,5743,3882,0831,5131,841866494386313
Junho9,6938,7475,4653,0982,7672,3341,4971,833501407315
Julho12,61011,6185,7063,9734,2312,5631,5831,685392310
Agosto9,7046,9393,6213,4682,3871,7461,7651,178522399
Setembro5,7106,5303,8232,1322,1421,9341,1511,0651,008331
Outubro6,2144,3903,0072,2731,6581,5301,030637742382
Novembro3,8914,1343,6421,3021,6411,870899671531325
Dezembro7335,7033,4023371,9861,491956976235326
TOTAL84,47970,26444,69528,73023,86620,05415,71810,7545,9894,0481,650
T. Parcial15,244,8039,821,4218,920,6518,333,6494,540,8482,558,1771,973,9701,650,204
Fonte: Sistema Alice
Elaborao: CBCL/OCB
junho3,097,8792,766,9912,334,3191,497,0001,833,170501,175406,619314,846
Total jun29,048,50739,475,63034,030,58927,160,00023,640,0894,963,7614,409,2358,352,987
Total jan a jun158,600,020187,443,138167,779,028160,513,007100,375,52447,260,32525,079,76540,663,303
EXP (jan a jun)
BRASIL - EXPORTAES EFETIVAS DE PRODUTOS LCTEOS
janeiro a junho
CDIGO NCMVALOR FOB (US$)VAR%PESO LQUIDO (KG)VAR%
2004200520042005
401 - LEITE E CREME DE1,074,5061,352,87125.91,081,7951,256,65016.2
LEITE, NO CONCENTR.
402 - LEITE E CREME DE21,110,14235,076,53466.216,981,00025,058,78347.6
LEITE, CONCENTRADO
403 - LEITELHO, LEITE E866,766654,384(24.5)1,111,724876,479(21.2)
CREME DE LEITE, CONC.
404 - SORO DE LEITE,12,56240,649223.68,79811,42629.9
MESMO CONC. OU ADIC.
405 - MANTEIGA E OUTRAS1,048,708593,986(43.4)614,773242,165(60.6)
MAT. GORDAS PROV. LEITE
406 - QUEIJOS E5,505,18612,960,430135.42,439,4775,316,270117.9
REQUEIJO
TOTAL29,617,87050,678,85471.122,237,56732,761,77347.3
Fonte: Sistema Alice/SECEX/MDIC
Obs.: Dados preliminares.
Elaborao:CNA/CBCL
EXP (jun)
BRASIL - EXPORTAES EFETIVAS DE PRODUTOS LCTEOS
junho
CDIGO NCMVALOR FOB (US$)VAR%PESO LQUIDO (KG)VAR%
2004200520042005
401 - LEITE E CREME DE221,394290,29631.1209,564307,90746.9
LEITE, NO CONCENTR.
402 - LEITE E CREME DE3,859,9514,425,55014.73,494,1803,927,35012.4
LEITE, CONCENTRADO
403 - LEITELHO, LEITE E231,72379,226(65.8)273,889116,710(57.4)
CREME DE LEITE, CONC.
404 - SORO DE LEITE,3,09112,565306.53,3262,500(24.8)
MESMO CONC. OU ADIC.
405 - MANTEIGA E OUTRAS97,746537,753450.249,746214,964332.1
MAT. GORDAS PROV. LEITE
406 - QUEIJOS E1,348,8072,041,99351.4597,044801,83434.3
REQUEIJO
TOTAL5,762,7127,387,38328.24,627,7495,371,26516.1
Fonte: Sistema Alice/SECEX/MDIC
Obs.: Dados preliminares.
Elaborao: CNA/CBCL
EXP (ms a ms)
Exportao de Produtos Lcteos por NCM
janeiro a dezembro
NCM: 0401 (Leite uht)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso lquido (Kg)
200020012002200320042005200020012002200320042005
Janeiro6,50634,92144,701125,96745,42089,1816,13029,27461,163203,14353,183115,964
Fevereiro4,75770,028203,89843,681146,60927,1832,88657,981253,43665,101148,26432,662
Maro19,49622,707333,01247,544208,952486,57218,24415,916456,81580,057205,229387,115
Abril18,10733,79875,99359,268208,58741,31414,99529,59687,06790,902218,78845,089
Maio41,603148,095250,91226,371243,544418,32533,307126,078308,50035,127246,767367,913
Junho49,77031,572100,75159,626221,394290,29643,50222,642117,60585,029209,564307,907
Julho98,58436,818671,997264,720219,61386,60526,984771,541270,322223,059
Agosto2,89741,261810,621483,648168,2321,27240,929863,222428,689194,867
Setembro49,82938,003701,869155,937233,34343,67438,980763,634181,117229,297
Outubro76,936871,111440,8819,998497,95665,911895,708506,8274,939531,230
Novembro32,783355,77291,640165,458527,02328,814363,520118,806206,012626,279
Dezembro16,50361,9363,191133,129167,74814,48162,25793,644152,772177,929
TOTAL417,7711,746,0223,729,4661,575,3472,888,4211,352,871359,8211,709,8654,402,2601,803,2103,064,4561,256,650
T. Parcial140,239341,1211,009,267362,4571,074,5061,352,871119,064281,4871,284,586559,3591,081,7951,256,650
90,469309,549908,516302,831853,11275,562258,8451,166,981474,330872,231
NCM: 0402 (Leite em p e Condensado)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso lquido (Kg)
200020012002200320042005200020012002200320042005
Janeiro168,022532,5386,558,7641,555,3802,563,0929,223,510172,937504,5435,036,4321,775,1342,094,9515,417,870
Fevereiro179,353217,560699,0222,806,3891,542,3376,123,960136,106215,581905,1422,807,4031,650,7464,143,482
Maro587,669141,8471,371,6141,000,7444,268,8095,495,766689,275132,8541,368,9771,141,9203,174,1324,384,460
Abril219,344184,1641,002,121493,8273,125,0894,962,163219,808189,1511,011,474514,1612,627,7313,645,137
Maio260,010903,573748,1681,842,9485,750,8644,845,585226,288944,727744,9801,849,5283,939,2603,540,484
Junho794,265385,2362,049,7311,653,9423,859,9514,425,550918,008411,6662,272,7151,927,7223,494,1803,927,350
Julho176,578772,2702,354,1794,272,1629,522,945140,718855,1672,616,4074,346,3395,926,042
Agosto221,667187,2851,587,0422,957,9376,136,191136,324191,2792,000,2553,249,4024,465,503
Setembro163,0331,844,8791,385,7122,737,4606,800,314169,4002,066,6161,794,6713,085,4615,669,970
Outubro316,875404,0391,205,1183,884,9439,157,815274,052463,5921,548,4262,910,7417,437,793
Novembro444,9441,256,2495,189,1669,647,54010,181,240492,7281,105,6506,549,7048,714,8318,059,230
Dezembro1,069,3481,461,1681,060,7843,005,63711,336,4281,198,7031,341,0031,363,6803,254,7866,771,671
TOTAL4,601,1088,290,80825,211,42135,858,90974,245,07535,076,5344,774,3478,421,82927,212,86335,577,42855,311,20925,058,783
T. Parcial2,208,6632,364,91812,429,4209,353,23021,110,14235,076,5342,362,4222,398,52211,339,72010,015,86816,981,00025,058,783
7,699,28817,250,1918,088,14613,486,820
NCM: 0403 (Iogurte)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso lquido (Kg)
200020012002200320042005200020012002200320042005
Janeiro66,59072,212760,091264,62377,923102,21972,44769,727577,634367,354109,239137,213
Fevereiro118,39747,054849,814108,493129,36379,085169,98652,248691,378146,432147,831111,025
Maro164,70163,968713,682146,840106,292120,292229,18461,324576,672182,653158,566166,936
Abril120,00452,862461,739162,540120,644141,847153,63656,835426,707202,893172,052167,474
Maio71,34280,770559,447110,614200,821131,71566,96571,422536,777145,436250,147177,121
Junho111,630100,708376,991136,172231,72379,22691,120107,811396,687182,842273,889116,710
Julho62,449222,762379,963112,350322,74961,708186,552418,657137,222365,283
Agosto72,327855,760346,840105,778100,48965,984522,355428,161138,989158,075
Setembro73,156710,321384,363125,896103,37868,278590,671466,850167,569149,213
Outubro185,509713,121313,435138,86089,969144,164621,560462,355185,539142,300
Novembro70,7701,087,113339,230124,704193,23466,820884,789477,690164,744247,563
Dezembro50,9441,008,439369,008125,261169,59757,732752,739531,123176,341203,997
TOTAL1,167,8195,015,0905,854,6031,662,1311,846,182654,3841,248,0243,978,0335,990,6912,198,0142,378,155876,479
T. Parcial652,664417,5743,721,764929,282866,766654,384783,338419,3673,205,8551,227,6101,111,724876,479
793,110635,0431,044,768837,835
NCM: 0404 (Soro de Leite)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso lquido (Kg)
200020012002200320042005200020012002200320042005
Janeiro1895,129197284667,7502323,400181141084,373
Fevereiro7270017,6182,6490600003,1703,0220
Maro1,2397885,49971430015,6906104553,7946912502,500
Abril261,31913,22914,04004,644141,10010,12514,23202,053
Maio9,1957,9701,3762996,05608,3006,0801,0582502,0920
Junho9,438006633,09112,5659,315004453,3262,500
Julho4202,360021,7712422501,99106,628280
Agosto01109811,2880909101,500
Setembro2,55210,1967123013211,7389,114605400260
Outubro8,5491,1535,4581671,4377,6682,0886,9771141,128
Novembro4,4382,4562,4892,3084712,4841,6682,6881,733300
Dezembro08,14901,6016107,61701,34443
TOTAL36,77339,53128,96060,49116,38240,64931,21133,52225,42829,93112,30911,426
T. Parcial20,81415,20620,30133,36212,56240,64919,07111,03515,15818,8028,79811,426
32,6999,47118,3575,472
NCM: 0405 (Manteiga)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso lquido (Kg)
200020012002200320042005200020012002200320042005
Janeiro1,5554,196386,2067,493203,2458,8323161,322342,3702,448116,7722,610
Fevereiro4,7469573,8578,69615,55517,0931,4133421,5522,8567,4527,540
Maro4,8213,2545,0513,434496,68812,7161,7181,6311,8581,767304,1968,947
Abril2,3582,8948,2383,191212,6144,7887501,1062,7401,320122,2064,906
Maio6,48011,2883,47410,91622,86012,8042,5305,4081,35313,13414,4013,198
Junho10,851258,5085,99011,61097,746537,7533,111251,8932,46211,52049,746214,964
Julho27,308262,5782,9516,663758,64624,020267,3201,3245,873415,440
Agosto55,140707,082385756,56410,75536,611650,670372481,55615,787
Setembro23,992944,99910,128484,7319,18718,708836,4885,710331,9978,933
Outubro20,2841,248,7133,3911,157,6749,8537,806813,2121,573746,8802,721
Novembro1,66675,38513,35012,8393,07842363,2246,7805,6353,408
Dezembro3,34691,2213,97798,6047,9241,13165,8041,51451,1726,764
TOTAL162,5473,611,075446,9982,562,4151,848,151593,98698,5372,958,420369,6081,656,1581,067,826242,165
T. Parcial30,811281,097412,81645,3401,048,708593,9869,838261,702352,33533,045614,773242,165
33,730950,96221,525565,027
NCM: 0406 (Queijos)
MsValor FOB (US$)Peso lquido (Kg)
200020012002200320042005200020012002200320042005
Janeiro225,306565,917486,624586,668320,4192,086,90882,452196,302188,294311,662152,003876,598
Fevereiro350,637399,731452,394452,433630,0262,354,840126,106132,388190,990206,210275,313981,512
Maro528,561641,102247,820488,9461,063,7212,340,101171,992223,932107,223247,457476,218959,503
Abril518,465693,965237,132602,3481,007,9751,773,107182,406255,427103,031272,190445,484745,422
Maio565,610699,026447,532558,0861,134,2382,363,481201,687244,092192,622250,821493,415951,401
Junho599,137527,645302,065458,6841,348,8072,041,993205,019183,111127,867223,435597,044801,834
Julho609,209442,458531,233750,5961,434,989225,763161,842227,348358,741624,159
Agosto732,500598,239450,147499,1211,169,478248,702223,892196,849218,988538,005
Setembro615,860557,032338,458402,630899,841217,579200,464148,590174,886410,819
Outubro775,482334,006481,586701,0601,342,279253,566132,743216,271326,938582,822
Novembro693,084341,573432,514626,1061,845,113239,425112,497194,330276,968807,756
Dezembro761,009526,773521,938662,0202,340,012260,991202,915228,506311,4381,003,354
TOTAL6,974,8606,327,4674,929,4436,788,69814,536,89812,960,4302,415,6882,269,6052,121,9213,179,7346,406,3925,316,270
T. Parcial2,787,7163,527,3862,173,5673,147,1655,505,18612,960,430969,6621,235,252910,0271,511,7752,439,4775,316,270
2,688,4814,156,3791,288,3401,842,433
Total Junho1,575,0911,303,6692,835,5282,320,6975,762,7127,387,3831,270,075977,1232,917,3362,430,9934,627,7495,371,265
Total Jan a Jun5,840,9076,947,30219,767,13513,870,83629,617,87050,678,8544,263,3954,607,36517,107,68113,366,45922,237,56732,761,773
EXP
Ministrio da Agricultura, Pecuria e Abastecimento - MAPA
Secretaria de Relaes Internacionais do Agronegcio - SRI
Departamento de Promoo Internacional do Agronegcio - DPIA
EXPORTAES BRASILEIRAS POR PAS DE DESTINO - NCM: 0401 / 0406
MERCADORIA / PASjul/04 - jun/05junho/05
US$KGP.MdioUS$KGP.Mdio
0401.10.10 LEITE UHT,CONT.MATERIA GORDA6%,N/CO2,949,5692,824,0731.04232,585193,1161.20
FILIPINAS874,6411,027,0370.85- 0- 0- 0
ESTADOS UNIDOS667,744536,5781.24212,683175,6201.21
VENEZUELA468,925501,0180.9319,90217,4961.13
IRA REP.ISL.DO433,924293,0761.48- 0- 0- 0
ARGENTINA116,310118,7290.97- 0- 0- 0
BOLIVIA70,44571,4820.98- 0- 0- 0
EMIR.ARABES UN.62,83748,8451.28- 0- 0- 0
PERU58,96652,6361.12- 0- 0- 0
PARAGUAI52,96262,9000.84- 0- 0- 0
LIBIA47,40332,5631.45- 0- 0- 0
ARGELIA40,82532,1721.26- 0- 0- 0
SUICA19,97417,3341.15- 0- 0- 0
URUGUAI18,42420,1600.91- 0- 0- 0
CHILE15,6959,2931.68- 0- 0- 0
CABO VERDE3001062.83- 0- 0- 0
JORDANIA1941441.34- 0- 0- 0
TOTAL 04013,166,7863,239,311290,296307,907
0402.10.10 LEITE EM PO,MAT.GORDA1.5%,CO63,09455,9651.122,6152,7840.93
ESTADOS UNIDOS46,11542,4561.08- 0- 0- 0
PARAGUAI6,3824,2481.50- 0- 0- 0
JAPAO6,3546,2641.012,6152,7840.93
CABO VERDE1,5661,3711.14- 0- 0- 0
ANGOLA1,2338701.41- 0- 0- 0
ALEMANHA1,0285401.90- 0- 0- 0
PORTUGAL4162161.92- 0- 0- 0
0402.29.10 LEITE INTEGRAL,EM PO,ETC.MATERIA GORDA>1.52,229,9831,269,4811.75543,039326,3121.66
ARGELIA1,723,6001,025,0001.68498,200300,0001.66
LIBIA144,71267,2482.15- 0- 0- 0
ESTADOS UNIDOS70,61218,7043.771,2341,3000.94
ANGOLA68,49524,6292.781571213.08
SERRA LEOA43,44825,0001.7343,44825,0001.73
LIBERIA41,02525,0001.64- 0- 0- 0
COSTA DO MARFIM28,32016,0001.77- 0- 0- 0
SURINAME25,60016,0001.60- 0- 0- 0
MAURITANIA25,60016,0001.60- 0- 0- 0
CONGO25,60016,0001.60- 0- 0- 0
GAMBIA12,8008,0001.60- 0- 0- 0
CAMAROES12,8008,0001.60- 0- 0- 0
CONGO,REP.DEM.DO7,3713,9001.89- 0- 0- 0
0402.29.20 LEITE PARCIALM.DESNATADO,EM PO,MATERIA GOR82,46250,3601.63- 0- 0- 0
NIGERIA80,75050,0001.61- 0- 0- 0
MOCAMBIQUE1,7123604.75- 0- 0- 0
0402.29.30 CREME DE LEITE,EM PO,ETC.MATERIA GORDA>1.59,2084,6501.983,3751,4402.34
ESTADOS UNIDOS9,1364,6081.983,3751,4402.34
ANGOLA72421.71- 0- 0- 0
0402.91.00 OUTS.LEITES,CREMES DE LEITE,CONCENTRADOS,N700,088693,3791.0016116.00
LIBIA627,112623,4631.00- 0- 0- 0
HAITI52,56550,4291.04- 0- 0- 0
BAHAMAS20,34319,4831.04- 0- 0- 0
ANGOLA68417.0016116.00
0402.99.00 OUTS.LEITES,CREMES DE LEITE,CONCENTRADOS,A30,504,22034,340,6650.883,381,4453,369,5731.00
ANGOLA10,898,19312,460,4220.871,334,9271,388,6660.96
ESTADOS UNIDOS3,544,5014,257,3340.8323,63318,9051.25
TRINIDAD E TOBAGO3,419,0624,021,1540.85107,831106,4791.01
VENEZUELA2,818,4973,022,8340.93415,447400,7661.03
LIBANO842,476872,8970.96198,307180,7641.09
TUNISIA828,529859,4330.96193,133191,1161.01
ARGENTINA730,349732,5160.99130,407116,5851.11
MAURICIO720,229918,7920.7819,41419,2081.01
PARAGUAI650,492656,3290.9944,93546,4520.96
BOLIVIA608,632624,8320.97224,397214,8181.04
COVEITE474,955472,9021.0080,53873,4131.09
BELIZE453,180496,9100.9138,74838,2241.01
LIBIA323,245382,2340.84- 0- 0- 0
IRA REP.ISL.DO319,683324,9010.98154,584152,8961.01
GUINE EQUATORIAL288,562301,9380.95- 0- 0- 0
CHILE249,084283,0420.88124,940127,0130.98
CAMAROES229,581253,7940.90- 0- 0- 0
HONDURAS222,304247,7280.8916,64016,4571.01
EMIR.ARABES UN.215,730265,2890.81- 0- 0- 0
CUBA179,321190,9680.9319,37419,1121.01
HAITI172,493196,8080.8719,37419,1121.01
BAHAMAS169,248179,4770.9443,18842,3381.02
OMA158,239164,8000.96- 0- 0- 0
GABAO149,950160,7240.9314,80819,1120.77
ARGELIA133,863152,8940.87- 0- 0- 0
SEYCHELLES132,319134,4570.9819,41419,2081.01
GRANADA121,798133,7840.91- 0- 0- 0
CAYMAN,ILHAS121,125132,2660.9139,25737,4651.04
NOVA ZELANDIA101,176123,8310.81- 0- 0- 0
PANAMA91,80689,6041.02- 0- 0- 0
CONGO89,93095,1600.9436,48138,0640.95
AFRICA DO SUL89,68196,0410.9356,09557,6250.97
AZERBAIJAO81,74891,7680.8918,60819,1120.97
ANTILHAS HOLAND.70,03575,1960.93- 0- 0- 0
MARROCOS67,41576,4470.88- 0- 0- 0
PERU66,16769,6780.94- 0- 0- 0
BARBADOS58,01274,8740.77- 0- 0- 0
GUIANA56,77757,3360.99- 0- 0- 0
SUICA55,11771,1370.77- 0- 0- 0
URUGUAI54,67735,0111.562,1601,9231.12
TANZANIA48,17357,3360.84- 0- 0- 0
SENEGAL45,12958,2460.77- 0- 0- 0
AUSTRALIA43,25055,0590.78- 0- 0- 0
SURINAME41,05745,9980.89- 0- 0- 0
CABO VERDE37,23422,9701.62- 0- 0- 0
POLINESIA FRANC.36,42636,7060.99- 0- 0- 0
EL SALVADOR29,13625,8801.12- 0- 0- 0
COLOMBIA24,09020,8561.15- 0- 0- 0
TURCOMENISTAO23,79830,7160.77- 0- 0- 0
MEXICO22,95123,6620.96- 0- 0- 0
JORDANIA19,16120,3430.94- 0- 0- 0
NIGERIA18,08019,0320.94- 0- 0- 0
IRAQUE15,90418,3530.86- 0- 0- 0
ARUBA12,78016,4950.77- 0- 0- 0
SANTA LUCIA12,48716,1160.77- 0- 0- 0
DOMINICA4,8054,7401.014,8054,7401.01
ANTIGUA BARBUDA3,6734,7400.77- 0- 0- 0
MOCAMBIQUE3,1471,7491.79- 0- 0- 0
JAPAO2,8042,8440.98- 0- 0- 0
ALEMANHA1,6141,1381.41- 0- 0- 0
ESPANHA227882.57- 0- 0- 0
PAISES BAIXOS113562.01- 0- 0- 0
TOTAL 040288,211,46763,388,9924,425,5503,927,350
0403.10.00 IOGURTE105,18648,5082.165,0137107.06
ESTADOS UNIDOS57,88427,8382.075,0137107.06
PARAGUAI43,26117,3702.49- 0- 0- 0
ANGOLA2,6141,8601.40- 0- 0- 0
URUGUAI1,1501,3850.83- 0- 0- 0
COREIA,REP.SUL277555.03- 0- 0- 0
0403.90.00 LEITELHO,LEITE,CREME DE LEITE,COALHADOS,FE1,528,6142,094,4020.7274,213116,0000.63
ARGENTINA853,1201,395,0080.6162,00099,2000.62
MEXICO325,791328,4070.99- 0- 0- 0
URUGUAI94,583154,4750.618,75014,0000.62
ARABIA SAUDITA72,07767,7441.06- 0- 0- 0
ANGOLA38,52817,5022.2061401.52
ESTADOS UNIDOS35,08829,6741.183001442.08
EMIR.ARABES UN.24,62922,7151.08- 0- 0- 0
PARAGUAI22,04228,4960.773602271.58
LIBANO15,02813,0451.152,7422,3891.14
CUBA13,80111,0161.25- 0- 0- 0
COVEITE10,2859,5751.07- 0- 0- 0
MOCAMBIQUE10,1415,2371.93- 0- 0- 0
REP.DOMINICANA8,9107,2901.22- 0- 0- 0
JORDANIA2,0982,2750.92- 0- 0- 0
GUIANA FRANCESA1,5591,1531.35- 0- 0- 0
OMA3503790.92- 0- 0- 0
REINO UNIDO3051402.17- 0- 0- 0
CABO VERDE1432230.64- 0- 0- 0
CHINA136482.83- 0- 0- 0
TOTAL 04031,633,8002,142,91079,226116,710
0404.10.00 SORO DE LEITE,MODIFICADO OU NAO,MESMO CONC7,5853,8811.95- 0- 0- 0
ANGOLA4,2241,7532.40- 0- 0- 0
ESTADOS UNIDOS2,1701,2781.69- 0- 0- 0
BOLIVIA1,1918501.40- 0- 0- 0
0404.90.00 OUTS.PRODS.CONSTITUIDOS DO LEITE,MESMO ADO36,88411,0563.3312,5652,5005.02
URUGUAI28,2555,0005.6512,5652,5005.02
ANGOLA5,8833,4181.72- 0- 0- 0
PARAGUAI2,2752,3280.97- 0- 0- 0
ESTADOS UNIDOS4503001.50- 0- 0- 0
SUICA21102.10- 0- 0- 0
TOTAL 040444,46914,93712,5652,500
0405.10.00 MANTEIGA132,49587,0581.5227,05715,0441.79
ESTADOS UNIDOS61,05516,6693.6618,6585,0403.70
PARAGUAI46,13465,3310.708,39510,0040.83
JAPAO21,7113,9005.56- 0- 0- 0
ANGOLA3,4871,0823.224- 0- 0
PAISES BAIXOS5978.42- 0- 0- 0
URUGUAI49690.71- 0- 0- 0
0405.90.10 OLEO BUTIRICO DE MANTEIGA ("BUTTER OIL")1,260,934608,1602.07510,696199,9202.55
CANADA510,696199,9202.55510,696199,9202.55
EMIR.ARABES UN.477,618249,4801.91- 0- 0- 0
IEMEM272,620158,7601.71- 0- 0- 0
TOTAL 04051,393,429695,218537,753214,964
0406.10.10 QUEIJO TIPO MUSSARELA,FRESCO (NAO CURADO)9,286,3583,923,9192.36643,013236,2752.72
COREIA,REP.SUL6,772,8512,939,5562.30308,091122,5012.51
CHILE1,336,622508,4742.62206,54970,0402.94
TAIWAN (FORMOSA)702,729312,0322.25123,13442,4492.90
REP.DOMINICANA130,22943,9922.96- 0- 0- 0
JAPAO68,71923,6972.89- 0- 0- 0
PARAGUAI68,19422,8262.98- 0- 0- 0
ESTADOS UNIDOS66,55820,6613.223,2406485.00
TRINIDAD E TOBAGO62,68921,9962.85- 0- 0- 0
ARABIA SAUDITA61,49624,5982.50- 0- 0- 0
ANGOLA16,2716,0872.671,9996373.13
0406.10.90 OUTS.QUEIJOS FRESCOS (NAO CURADOS),INCL.RE897,510360,9902.4895,81531,2003.07
ESTADOS UNIDOS386,115118,0833.2657,16515,4463.70
CHILE281,235161,4501.7423,98011,0322.17
PERU109,09640,6902.6812,7173,9093.25
EQUADOR48,15920,3792.36- 0- 0- 0
JAPAO39,4828,0294.911,2474732.63
ANGOLA22,3947,0583.17- 0- 0- 0
PARAGUAI7,3693,9151.887063402.07
TAIWAN (FORMOSA)1,8161,0321.75- 0- 0- 0
CABO VERDE1,2161707.15- 0- 0- 0
CINGAPURA4801303.69- 0- 0- 0
URUGUAI148542.74- 0- 0- 0
0406.20.00 QUEIJOS RALADOS OU EM PO,DE QUALQUER TIPO15,7912,8175.603,8716116.33
JAPAO12,2272,0106.083,8036006.33
COLOMBIA1,5602506.24- 0- 0- 0
PANAMA1,2963603.60- 0- 0- 0
ESTADOS UNIDOS380993.83- 0- 0- 0
ANGOLA212782.7168116.18
URUGUAI116205.80- 0- 0- 0
0406.30.00 QUEIJOS FUNDIDOS,EXCETO RALADOS OU EM PO5,197,9342,566,1432.02574,351282,4832.03
ARGENTINA2,311,5511,194,4051.93202,366102,9411.96
CHILE996,117542,3971.83194,133107,1281.81
IRAQUE663,798244,7582.71- 0- 0- 0
PARAGUAI371,978210,9681.7615,1896,8172.22
URUGUAI232,959112,2402.0716,2286,8642.36
PERU228,820110,1412.0771,53931,1042.29
CHINA219,09278,1232.8074,89627,6292.71
JORDANIA80,89231,5442.56- 0- 0- 0
COREIA,REP.SUL55,62421,9242.53- 0- 0- 0
PORTO RICO37,00419,6131.88- 0- 0- 0
ANGOLA99303.30- 0- 0- 0
0406.40.00 QUEIJOS DE PASTA MOFADA (AZUL)14,9425,5422.694,3591,7152.54
CHILE12,2854,6572.634,1751,6662.50
PARAGUAI2,6578853.00184493.75
0406.90.10 QUEIJOS CONT.TEOR DE UMIDADE
Apresentao
Cenrio atual;
Potencial de crescimento da produo;
Desafios ao aumento da competitividade:
Mercado interno;
Mercado internacional;
Propostas de Polticas para o Setor;
Cenrio Atual
Produo de Leite sob inspeo(ms a ms)
1,29
1,28
1,101,14
1,061,05 1,04
1,081,10 1,08
1,17
1,22
1,33
1,17 1,16
1,07
1,11 1,10
1,18 1,18 1,18
1,25
1,34
1,451,431,42
1,47
1,44
1,251,28
1,261,30 1,31
1,36 1,36 1,33
1,0
1,1
1,1
1,2
1,2
1,3
1,3
1,4
1,4
1,5
1,5
jan fev mar abr mai jun jul ago set out nov dez
(bil
es d
e lit
ros)
2003 2004 2005
2005/04 Crescimento de 11,87%
Fonte: IBGE
Produo de leite sob inspeo(milhes de litros)
Fonte: IBGE
NORTE
Produo 2005: 823,3
Cresc. 2005/04: - 0,9%
SUL
Produo 2005: 4.172,4
Cresc. 2005/04: 16,5%
CENTRO-OESTE
Produo 2005: 2.610,1
Cresc. 2005/04: 18,1%
SUDESTE
Produo 2005: 7.665,5
Cresc. 2005/04: 6,9%
NORDESTE
Produo 2005: 944,2
Cresc. 2005/04: 33,7%
BRASIL
Produo 2005: 16.215,5
Cresc. 2005/04: 11,9%
Crescimento de 1,7 bilho delitros em relao a 2004
MATO GROSSO
Produo 2005: 318,7
Cresc. 2005/04: 14,6%
Balana Comercial do Agronegcio Leite
8,983,9
112,3
247,6177,5
373,1439,9
511,7456,6
121,29,4 8,1 7,5 13,4 25,0 40,2 48,595,4 130,1
11,5-63,8
-207,4-152,4
-359,7-432,4
-503,6-447,2
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
1.997 1.998 1.999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Val
or F
OB
(mil
US$)
Saldo
Exportaes
Importaes
Fonte: Sistema AliceElaborao: CNA/Decon
Balana Comercial do Agronegcio Leite
-1,4 0,33,2
5,68,9
0,1
7,9
-8,8-6,7
1,1
-4,0
3,53,3
9,9
16,514,1
7,7
16,9
6,98,5
13,4
7,7 7,4
10,7
13,8
7,5
18,9
7,8
15,013,1
6,69,6
10,67,5 6,1
11,0 11,5
10,113,4
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
mar/05 abr/05 mai/05 jun/05 jul/05 ago/05 set/05 out/05 nov/05 dez/05 jan/06 fev/06 mar/06
(US
$ m
ilhe
s)
Saldo Exportaes Importaes
Janeiro a Maro de 2006
- Exportaes: US$ 37,7 milhes Cresc. 31,8%
- Importaes: US$ 34,9 milhes Cresc. 11,5%Fonte: Sistema AliceElaborao: CNA/Decon
Poltica Cambial
Saldo da Balana Comercial Real/Dlar
Preo do leite ao produtor
set/04 0,9 2,891 0,585
out/04 3,1 2,852 0,578
nov/04 6,1 2,786 0,562
dez/04 6,4 2,718 0,549
jan/05 -0,5 2,693 0,544
fev/05 -0,8 2,597 0,546
mar/05 -1,4 2,704 0,554
abr/05 0,3 2,579 0,578
mai/05 -8,8 2,452 0,592
jun/05 -6,7 2,413 0,595
jul/05 1,1 2,373 0,568
ago/05 3,2 2,361 0,508
set/05 5,6 2,294 0,484
out/05 8,9 2,256 0,469
nov/05 0,1 2,211 0,447
dez/05 7,9 2,285 0,427Fonte: MDIC; BCB; CEPEA/USP
Perspectivas para 2006
Forte influncia do Cmbio:- Produo;- Importao;- Exportao.
Fonte: IBGE, Sistema Alice (2006 previso)Elaborao: CNA
5,5%
81,7%68,9%
2,8%
-62,3%
21,8%5,5%
-36,8%
122,1%
6,5%
37,1%27,8%
3,0% 4,2%5,7%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Produo Importao Exportao
25,7 bilhes de Litros
520 milhes de litros
500 milhes de litros
Potencial de Crescimento da
Produo
Produtividade em 2005(mil litros de leite/vaca/ano)
Potencial decrescimento
Fontes: Embrapa Gado de Leite e FAO
Elaborao: CNA/Decon
8,9
7,67,2 7,0
5,0
4,13,7
1,41,0
Es tadosUnidos
Canad P a s e sBaixos
Re inoUnido
Aus trlia Arg e ntina NovaZe lndia
Bras il ndia
Quanto podemos crescer?
MANEJO
GENTICA
Quanto podemos crescer?
REA
FORRAGENS (NUTRIO)
Quanto podemos crescer?
SISTEMA DE PRODUO
EFICINCIA
- Mercado interno
- Mercado internacional
Desafios ao aumento da
competitividade:
Desafios no Mercado Interno
Cenrio para 2014
30,128,5
1,6
31,629,7
1,9
33,230,8
2,4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
(bilh
es
de li
tros
)
Pessimista Realista Otimista
Produo Demanda Saldo
134 140 145
Fonte: UFV
Oscilao e falta de previsibilidade de preos(janeiro de 1970 a fevereiro de 2006)
0,43
1,97
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
jan/70 jan/73 jan/76 jan/79 jan/82 jan/85 jan/88 jan/91 jan/94 jan/97 jan/00 jan/03 jan/06
Fonte: FGV, 2006 - Defacionado pelo IGP-DI
Preo do Leite(Comparao entre os meses de 2000 a 2006)
Fonte: CEPEA/USPValores deflacionados pelo IGP-DI
0,538 0,536
0,418
0,595
0,567
0,489
0,566
0,498
0,535
0,449
0,541
0,490
0,593
0,40
0,42
0,44
0,46
0,48
0,50
0,52
0,54
0,56
0,58
0,60
jan/00 jul/00 jan/01 jul/01 jan/02 jul/02 jan/03 jul/03 jan/04 jul/04 jan/05 jul/05 jan/06
Nota: Inflao Comportamento do ndice de Preos ao Consumidor (IPC) da FGVAlimentao Comportamento do IPC referente a alimentaoLaticnios Comportamento dos Preos Pagos pelos Consumidores de Leite e DerivadosProdutor Comportamento dos Preos Recebidos pelos Produtores segundo o CEPEA/USP
Comportamento dos Preos
103,16
96,69
79,7
104,74
78
83
88
93
98
103
108
de z /04 jan/05 fe v/05 mar/05 abr/05 mai/05 jun/05 jul/05 ag o/05 s e t/05 out/05 nov/05 de z /05
Alime nta o Latic n ios P rodutor Infla o
100
Produtor
Laticnios
Alimentao
Inflao
Comportamento dos Preos
01/05/2005 01/05/2006 Variao
Laranja pra 1Kg R$ 0,83 R$ 1,64 97,59%
Aucar cristal Minascar 5Kg R$ 4,54 R$ 6,94 52,86%
Alcool comum 1 litro R$ 1,42 R$ 2,17 52,42%
Chuchu 1Kg R$ 0,72 R$ 0,93 29,17%
01/05/2005 01/05/2006 Variao
Tomate ma 1Kg R$ 4,47 R$ 2,66 -40,49%
Batata inglesa 1Kg R$ 2,82 R$ 1,72 -39,01%
Ma nacional vermelha R$ 3,16 R$ 2,07 -34,49%
Leite longa vida Parmalat R$ 1,79 R$ 1,33 -25,70%
Maiores Altas
Maiores Quedas
Fonte: Jornal Estado de Minas 02 de maio de 2006
Comportamento dos Preos
Nota: Rao - Comportamento do ndice de Preos no Atacado para as Raes e Sal Mineral Produtor Comportamento dos Preos Recebidos pelos Produtores segundo o CEPEA/USP
Produtor
Rao/Sal Mineral
96,98
100
79,7
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
de z /04 jan/05 fe v/05 mar/05 abr/05 mai/05 jun/05 jul/05 ag o/05 s e t/05 out/05 nov/05 de z /05
Ra o/S al Mine ral P rodutor
Consumo per capita aparente de Lcteos(1980 - 2005)
133,5 134,5
92,1
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Con
sum
o pe
r ca
pta
apar
ente
(Litr
os/h
ab.)
Recomendao mnima Guia Alimentar Brasileiro
Expanso do Consumo
9 bilhes de litros/ano
Fonte dos dados bsicos: IBGE, MAPA, MF, SECEX/MDIC
Consumo de Lcteos
Distribuio % da despesa familiar mdia com alimentao(Regio Metropolitana de So Paulo)
5,445,11
17,42
6,8813,27
8,18
10,2913,29
6,67
9,179,07
19,7629,59 22,98
6,544,006,983,445,52
6,738,29
16,9521,33 5,55
6,85 14,28
16,42
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1987/1988 1995/1996 2002/2003
OutrosBebidas e infusesPanificadosLeites e derivadosAves e ovosCarnesFrutasAcaresCereais
Fonte: IBGEElaborao: Milkpoint
Desafios no Mercado Interno
Programa de Incentivo a Produo
e ao Consumo de Leite
XIncoerncia
Instruo Normativa n51(Norte e Nordeste 01 de julho 2007)
Projeto Conhecer/CNA:
- 84% do leite dos produtores resfriam o leite nas regies Sul, Sudeste e Centro-Oeste
90% das anlises da RBQL esto dentro dos padres da IN n 51
Organizao de Produtores
Fortalecimento do Associativismo
Sistema Sindical ( CNA/American Farm Bureau)
Associaes (tanques comunitrios)
Cooperativas (virtuais?)
Desafios no Mercado
Internacional
Desafios no Mercado Internacional
Produo Mundial de Leite em 2005(531 bilhes de litros)
Fontes: Embrapa Gado de Leite e FAO
Elaborao: CNA/Decon
80,2
38,5
30,627,6
25,3 25,0 24,5
14,6
Es tadosUnidos
ndia Rs s ia Ale manha Fran a Bras il China NovaZe lndia
Desafios no Mercado Internacional
Principais pases exportadores de leite(30 bilhes de litros)
NZ34,6%
EU31,1%
Outros14,8%
Austrlia15,5%
EUA4,0%
Fontes: Australian Dairy Corporation
Elaborao: CNA/Decon
Desafios no Mercado Internacional
Subsdio por Produto (PSE) (US$ milhes)
Fonte: OCDE PSE, mdia 1998 a 2002PSE: Valor monetrio anual de transferncias dos consumidores contribuintes para os produtores rurais
44.045
27.587 25.706
17.578
11.435 9.885 8.9136.252 6.156 4.790 4.439
1.718 130
80.313
LEITE
CARN
E BOV
INA
ARRO
Z
TRIG
O
MILH
O
OUTR
OS C
EREA
ISCA
RNE S
UINA
AUC
AROL
EAGI
NOSA
S
AVES
CARN
ES O
VINA
S
OVOS L
OUTR
OS P
RODU
TOS
Desafios no Mercado Internacional
Defesa Comercial
Aplicao de Medidas Antidumping:
Elevao da Tarifa Externa Comum (TEC) do Mercosul para Leite em P,
Soro e Queijo
9.579
14.462
11.394
18.782
4.350
8.990
95 446 93 418 41 188
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Toneladas Mil US$
Reduo das importaes de leite em p da UE 14,8% de direito antidumping 27% de TEC
Desafios no Mercado Internacional
Promoo das Exportaes
Negociar acordos de equivalncia sanitria;
Agilizar processo de habilitao de indstrias para exportao;
Identificar barreiras a produtos lcteos brasileiros nos principais
mercados mundiais;
Regulamentar normas e tipificao de produtos lcteos, com o
objetivo de atender mercados externos.
Propostas de Polticas
para o Setor
Aes da CNPL para 2006
1) Baixo consumo de lcteos
Ampliar para todo pas, o Programa de Incentivo a Produo e ao Consumo de Leite (IPLC), do Ministrio do Desenvolvimento Social e Combate Fome e elevar o limite da aquisio por beneficirio produtor.
Desonerar de PIS/PASEP e COFINS, raes e sal mineral, tanques de resfriamento de leite, ordenhadeira mecnica, equipamentos de reposio e material de limpeza dos equipamentos.
Suprimir da lei n 11.265/2006, que regulamenta a comercializao de alimentos para lactantes e crianas de primeira infncia, a exigncia de incluir no painel principal do rtulo de produtos lcteos a frase O Ministrio da Sade adverte: Este produto no deve ser usado para alimentar crianas menores de 1 (um) ano de idade.
Aes da CNPL para 2006
2) Distores nas importaes de lcteos
Manter o leite em p, soro e queijos na lista de exceo da Tarifa Externa Comum (TEC).
Prorrogar por mais cinco anos as medidas antidumping aplicadas a Unio Europia e Nova Zelndia.
3) Falta de previsibilidade de preos do leite ao produtor
Criar Prmio de Risco para Aquisio de Produto Agropecurio oriundo de Contrato Privado de Opo e Venda (PROP).
Aes da CNPL para 2006
Viabilizar o enquadramento dos Produtores no Programa Nacional de
Melhoria da Qualidade do Leite:- Disparidade de preos pagos ao produtor.
Preos praticados no Estado de Gois em fevereiro de 2006
R$ 0,42
R$ 0,34
R$ 0,49
R$ 0,37
Preo mnpadro
Preo mnfora dopadro
Preo mxpadro
Preo mxfora dopadroFonte: FAEG
Aes da CNPL para 2006
Viabilizar o enquadramento dos Produtores no Programa Nacional de Melhoria
da Qualidade do Leite:
- Implementar programa de treinamento de produtores e trabalhadores rurais;
- Assistncia tcnica (pblica/privada);
- Recursos para infra-estrutura (mquinas, equipamentos, estradas, etc..).
29%
28%
25%
2%
16%
Orientao tcnica
Treinamento dos funcionrios
Aquisio de tanque de resfriamento
Eletrif icao na propriedade
Outros
Projeto Conhecer(Principais demandas dos produtores)
Obrigado.
Rodrigo Sant`Anna Alvim
Oportunidades para a Produo de Leite no BrasilApresentaoCenrio AtualProduo de Leite sob inspeo(ms a ms)Balana Comercial do Agronegcio LeiteBalana Comercial do Agronegcio LeitePoltica CambialForte influncia do Cmbio:- Produo;- Importao;- Exportao.Potencial de Crescimento da ProduoProdutividade em 2005(mil litros de leite/vaca/ano)Quanto podemos crescer?Quanto podemos crescer?Quanto podemos crescer?- Mercado interno- Mercado internacionalDesafios no Mercado InternoOscilao e falta de previsibilidade de preos (janeiro de 1970 a fevereiro de 2006)Preo do Leite (Comparao entre os meses de 2000 a 2006)Consumo per capita aparente de Lcteos (1980 - 2005)Distribuio % da despesa familiar mdia com alimentao(Regio Metropolitana de So Paulo)Desafios no Mercado InternacionalProduo Mundial de Leite em 2005(531 bilhes de litros)Defesa ComercialPromoo das ExportaesPropostas de Polticas para o Setor