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Grain:
World Markets and Trade
Approved by the Wor ld Agricultural Outl ook Board - USDA
United States
Department of
Agr icul ture
Foreign
Agricultural
Service
February 2016
South American Competition Limits U.S. Corn Exports
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Combined corn exports for Brazil and Argentina are forecast at a record in 2015/16. In
addition to large supplies, both countries have depreciating currencies, making their exports
more competitive relative to other suppliers. Brazil’s exports are forecast at a record based
on the robust pace of shipments as well as the expectation of another large crop.
Argentina’s exports are forecast to be the second-highest on record as sales and shipments
have accelerated following the removal of export taxes and quotas. Exports are expected to
remain strong, fueled by larger projected supplies this month. The bulk of Argentina’s
2015/16 exports are likely to ship during the latter half of the 2015/16 trade year (Oct-Sep).
Brazil’s exports have grown more than any other country in 2015/16, capturing a larger
share of record global trade. To do so, Brazil has expanded its second crop, which is
exported from July through December, a period which includes the U.S. harvest. This
intensified competition presents a challenge for U.S. exports, as evidenced by the current
slow pace of sales and shipments. Even though U.S. supplies are near record levels, export
bids have remained above those for South American competitors.
MMT Exports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16
Brazil Argentina United States
http://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-tradehttps://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/newhttp://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-tradehttps://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/newhttps://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/newhttp://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-trade
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4
Rice .................................................................................................................. 10Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 16
Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 36
Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 55
The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD)database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply
and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.
To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database
(PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and
Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains.
FAS Reports and Databases:
Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:
http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:
http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7
Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online):http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx
Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):
http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx Export Sales Report:
http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/ Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):
http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx
Other USDA Reports:
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/
Economic Research Service:
http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops
National Agricultural Statistics Service:http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/
2 eign Agricultural Service/USDA Februafice of Global Analysis
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All Grain Summary Comparison
Million Metric Tons
Marketing Year
Wheat Rice, Milled Corn
2015/2014/152013/142015/162014/152013/142015/162014/152013/14
Production
United States (Jun-May) 58.1 55.1 55.8 6.1 7.1 6.1 351.3 361.1 3
Other 657.3 670.8 680.0 472.3 471.0 463.4 640.1 647.9 6
World Total 715.4 725.9 735.8 478.4 478.1 469.5 991.4 1,009.0 9
Domestic Consumption
United States (Jun-May) 34.3 31.6 32.2 4.0 4.2 3.9 293.0 301.9 3
Other 656.5 668.2 677.3 474.2 474.7 477.8 649.2 659.2 6
World Total 690.8 699.8 709.5 478.2 478.9 481.7 942.2 961.1 9
Ending Stocks
United States (Jun-May) 16.1 20.5 26.3 1.0 1.6 1.3 31.3 44.0
Other 177.9 194.0 212.6 106.4 101.9 88.0 143.5 162.2 1
World Total 194.0 214.5 238.9 107.4 103.5 89.3 174.8 206.2 2
TY Imports
United States (Jun-May) 4.8 4.0 3.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8
Other 155.4 154.3 157.6 40.2 38.1 38.8 124.4 121.3 1
World Total 160.2 158.3 160.8 41.0 38.9 39.6 125.1 122.1 1
TY Exports
United States (Jun-May) 31.5 22.8 21.5 3.0 3.5 3.3 50.7 46.8
Other 130.9 138.6 141.6 40.4 39.0 38.3 79.5 81.0
World Total 162.4 161.4 163.1 43.4 42.5 41.6 130.2 127.8 1
Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and
exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:
Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat
only.
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4
WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
OVERVIEW
Global production in 2015/16 is up slightly to a new record. The biggest change is a larger
projected crop in Argentina. Global trade is up inappreciably. Canada’s and Turkey’s exportsare raised and the United States is lowered. The season-average farm price is unchanged thismonth.
Canadian Wheat Exports Projected To Surpass U.S. Again
15
20
25
30
35
40
06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16
(est)
M
M T
US Canada
0.9
1
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16
Canadian Dollars per U.S. Dollar(Source: U.S. Treasury)
0
10
20
30
M M T
Projected Canadian and U.S. Ending Stocks
US Canada
For the second year in a row,Canada is expected to surpass theUnited States in wheat exports.This trend is underpinned byfavorable exchange rates forCanadian exports. A strong U.S.dollar is hampering the UnitedStates’ ability to compete intraditional markets, much less ina global market awash in lower- priced wheat. The U.S. dollarhas appreciated 32 percentagainst the Canadian dollar sincethe start of the 2013/14 tradeyear. As Canadian wheat exportsmaintain their competitiveadvantage against U.S. wheat, itsending stocks are projected at an8-year low. U.S. stocks, on theother hand, are expected to rise toa burdensome 6-year high.
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5
U.S. PRICES:
Domestic: Prices for U.S. wheat classes were nearly unchanged in January. Hard Red Winter(HRW) edged up $1 to $213/ton, Hard Red Spring (HRS) rose $3 to $230/ton, and Soft RedWinter (SRW) notched a $4 gain to $202/ton. Soft White Wheat (SWW) slid $2 to $206/ton.U.S. wheat continues to be uncompetitive in most global markets.
175
200
225
250
275
$ / M T
U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids
HRS HRW SRW SWW
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6
TRADE CHANGES IN 2015/16
Selected Exporters
Canada is boosted 1.0 million tons to 22.0 million on the strong shipment pace to date.
Turkey is raised 500,000 tons to 4.5 million as flour and pasta product exports expandinto new markets in sub-Saharan Africa.
United States is cut 500,000 tons to 21.5 million on sluggish sales and shipments to date.
Selected Importers
China is up 300,000 tons to 2.3 million due to a stronger-than-expected pace.
Ethiopia is raised another 500,000 tons this month to 2.4 million as lower-priced wheat is
substituting for other coarse grains in food consumption.
Iran is down 500,000 tons to 4.0 million as the government attempts to lower excesssupplies by prohibiting government wheat imports after March 20, 2016.
South Korea is boosted 300,000 tons to 4.5 million based on a recent uptick in feed-quality wheat purchases.
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World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade
July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
TY Exports
6,56,5004,2001,6757,45011,951 Argentina
17,517,50016,57518,33921,26923,031 Australia
1,31,3001,688811,7531,860 Brazil
22,021,00024,83222,15718,58417,603 Canada32,532,50035,41832,03222,78616,728 European Union
6,56,5005,5078,0006,80111,069 Kazakhstan
1,11,1001,1041,322729790 Mexico
23,523,50022,80018,56811,28921,627 Russia
4,54,0004,1364,2933,5833,678 Turkey
15,515,50011,2699,7557,1905,436 Ukraine
10,610,94211,08114,64218,04011,850 Others
141,5140,342138,610130,864119,474125,623 Subtotal
21,522,00022,75231,51827,73428,142 United States
163,0162,342161,362162,382147,208153,765 World Total
no
TY Imports
2,22,2002,0002,0501,6002,200 Afghanistan
7,77,7007,2577,4846,4846,500 Algeria
3,63,6003,8033,3542,7252,039 Bangladesh
6,36,3005,8697,0617,5477,053 Brazil
2,32,0001,9266,7732,9602,933 China
11,511,50011,06310,1708,30011,650 Egypt
2,41,9001,1006701,3441,550 Ethiopia
6,06,0005,9753,9765,2767,362 European Union
8,18,1007,4787,3927,1466,457 Indonesia
4,04,5005,0066,6005,6002,400 Iran
3,23,2002,2533,2463,9483,784 Iraq
5,75,8005,8786,1236,5986,354 Japan
4,54,2003,9424,2885,4395,188 Korea, South
4,44,4004,4464,6363,8235,020 Mexico
3,02,8004,0733,8923,8253,671 Morocco
4,44,4004,2444,5804,1383,903 Nigeria
4,84,8005,0993,4823,6454,075 Philippines
3,83,8003,4873,4291,9212,904 Saudi Arabia
2,01,8001,9001,8001,5581,542 South Africa
2,82,8002,6322,6641,7932,360 Sudan
3,53,5003,4891,6931,8452,646 Thailand
3,83,8005,9604,1543,3124,413 Turkey
2,42,4002,2302,2241,8632,698 Uzbekistan
2,62,6002,2962,1581,6712,711 Vietnam
3,33,3003,2453,4253,1492,685 Yemen
49,249,26147,69448,10343,77344,773 Others
157,5156,661154,345155,427141,283148,871 Subtotal
2,32,4813,0302,1702,4491,857 Unaccounted
3,23,2003,9874,7853,4763,037 United States
163,0162,342161,362162,382147,208153,765 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
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World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
Production
11,010,50012,50010,5009,30015,500 Argentina
26,026,00023,66625,30322,85629,905 Australia
27,627,60029,42037,53027,20525,288 Canada
130,1130,190126,208121,930121,023117,400 China8,18,1008,3008,2508,5008,400 Egypt
157,9157,977156,525144,583133,949138,182 European Union
88,988,94095,85093,50694,88286,874 India
14,014,00013,00014,50013,80012,400 Iran
13,714,00012,99613,9419,84122,732 Kazakhstan
8,08,0005,1007,0003,8705,800 Morocco
25,425,47825,97924,21123,47325,214 Pakistan
61,061,00059,08052,09137,72056,240 Russia
19,519,50015,25018,75016,00018,800 Turkey
27,227,00024,75022,27815,76122,324 Ukraine
7,27,2007,1506,8006,7006,300 Uzbekistan
53,954,06354,99056,07652,10451,033 Others
679,9679,548670,764657,249596,984642,392 Subtotal
55,855,84055,14758,10561,29854,244 United States
735,7735,388725,911715,354658,282696,636 World Total
no
Total Consumption
10,210,25010,0509,8509,4508,950 Algeria
10,610,40010,70011,40010,90011,200 Brazil
8,89,0009,1159,4079,5309,852 Canada
114,0118,000116,500116,500125,000122,500 China
19,619,60019,10018,50018,70018,600 Egypt
125,7125,750123,500117,300119,250127,234 European Union
91,093,94093,13093,84883,82481,408 India
7,97,9507,3657,1656,9506,250 Indonesia
18,018,00017,50017,00016,00015,200 Iran
9,89,8009,0009,0008,3008,800 Morocco
24,624,60024,50024,10023,90023,100 Pakistan
37,037,00035,50034,10033,55038,000 Russia
18,018,00017,50017,75017,65018,100 Turkey
12,512,50012,00011,50011,40014,950 Ukraine
9,39,3008,9008,4008,0007,800 Uzbekistan
160,1157,955153,890150,705146,806145,433 Others
679,2683,942673,876664,071641,267665,550 Subtotal
32,132,19731,55434,28737,76831,962 United States
711,4716,139705,430698,358679,035697,512 World Total
no
Ending Stocks
4,94,9984,2734,5574,6637,051 Australia
93,587,29576,10565,27453,96055,946 China
19,219,25913,5209,93810,71113,522 European Union
14,811,90017,20017,83024,20019,950 India
7,37,3217,8217,2215,086825 Iran
5,04,8704,1204,1852,4723,305 Morocco
7,27,1326,2825,1754,95210,899 Russia
60,263,64864,71563,78751,45466,080 Others
212,5206,423194,036177,967157,498177,578 Subtotal
26,225,61420,47716,06519,53820,211 United States
238,8232,037214,513194,032177,036197,789 World Total
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Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Jan
2015/16
Fe
2015/1
TY Imports no
8,554 North America 7,784 9,862 8,923 8,085 8,0
1,666 Central America 1,654 1,833 1,834 1,795 1,7
13,779 South America 14,422 14,831 13,181 14,015 13,8
7,362 European Union - 28 5,276 3,976 5,975 6,000 6,0
1,930 Other Europe 1,703 1,921 1,748 1,895 1,88,022 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,228 7,411 7,667 7,340 7,4
23,066 Middle East 24,163 28,342 26,928 26,050 25,5
24,855 North Africa 22,078 25,229 25,180 25,600 25,8
19,176 Sub-Saharan Africa 18,501 20,443 20,945 22,630 23,3
16,865 East Asia 17,352 19,463 14,120 14,410 14,9
5,487 South Asia 5,308 6,733 8,035 7,451 7,4
18,019 Southeast Asia 16,325 17,119 20,595 21,375 21,3
3,127 Others 2,965 3,049 3,201 3,215 3,2
151,908 Total 144,759 160,212 158,332 159,861 160,7
Production no
83,160 North America 91,734 99,012 88,254 87,220 87,2
26,131 South America 18,011 19,762 22,727 20,041 20,3
138,182 European Union - 28 133,949 144,583 156,525 157,977 157,9
3,597 Other Europe 3,431 4,059 3,856 4,132 4,1
114,985 Former Soviet Union - 12 77,802 103,873 112,728 117,530 117,539,285 Middle East 36,884 41,708 35,117 40,855 40,8
18,366 North Africa 17,320 19,722 16,900 20,000 20,0
6,231 Sub-Saharan Africa 6,718 7,518 7,721 6,871 6,8
118,775 East Asia 122,490 123,248 127,648 131,488 131,5
117,450 South Asia 126,412 125,917 130,154 122,648 122,6
30,288 Oceania 23,345 25,751 24,080 26,425 26,4
186 Others 186 201 201 201 2
696,636 Total 658,282 715,354 725,911 735,388 735,7
Domestic Consumption no
49,414 North America 53,923 50,344 47,519 48,197 47,9
26,085 South America 26,232 27,151 26,867 26,694 27,0
127,234 European Union - 28 119,250 117,300 123,500 125,750 125,7
4,871 Other Europe 4,721 4,757 4,810 4,890 4,8
79,970 Former Soviet Union - 12 71,725 72,750 75,860 78,305 78,3
56,723 Middle East 56,636 58,717 58,112 60,095 60,040,927 North Africa 41,421 42,424 42,676 44,325 44,3
23,260 Sub-Saharan Africa 23,994 26,659 27,139 28,045 29,7
137,057 East Asia 140,072 130,321 129,287 130,851 127,1
115,930 South Asia 121,007 132,041 132,333 134,016 131,1
16,665 Southeast Asia 16,520 16,574 19,280 20,680 20,7
7,824 Oceania 8,111 8,280 8,869 8,800 8,8
3,379 Others 3,366 3,494 3,552 3,594 3,5
689,339 Total 686,978 690,812 699,804 714,242 709,5
Ending Stocks no
26,718 North America 24,950 26,817 28,080 31,882 31,2
4,203 South America 3,517 6,723 6,446 4,626 4,2
13,522 European Union - 28 10,711 9,938 13,520 19,259 19,2
1,458 Other Europe 1,149 1,103 1,242 1,304 1,3
26,373 Former Soviet Union - 12 14,287 15,674 19,995 20,205 20,3
12,193 Middle East 13,798 18,275 17,877 19,357 18,8
14,094 North Africa 11,487 13,550 12,347 12,972 13,1
2,401 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,486 2,957 3,252 3,756 2,8
59,235 East Asia 57,509 68,487 79,632 91,144 97,4
25,106 South Asia 28,004 21,684 23,095 17,724 20,6
4,678 Southeast Asia 3,814 3,582 4,045 4,140 3,8
7,436 Oceania 4,983 4,875 4,569 5,309 5,3
372 Others 341 367 413 359 3
197,789 Total 177,036 194,032 214,513 232,037 238,8
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
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10
RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
OVERVIEW
Global production for 2015/16 is down from last month due to a smaller expected second crop inThailand. Trade is adjusted lower due to reduced exports for major global suppliers Thailandand Vietnam and fewer imports from Indonesia, Iran and Saudi Arabia. Global stocks are downmarginally and remain 14 percent lower than the prior year. U.S. exports are unchanged. TheU.S. season-average farm price is lowered.
The United States exported nearly 300,000 tons of rice to Colombia in 2015, more than triplingthe amount exported in 2014. As discussed in the July 2015 report, Colombia has an annualtariff rate quota under the U.S. – Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement, which was set at90,152 metric tons in 2015. However, Colombia’s tight domestic supplies, coupled with fewerimports from neighboring Venezuela led to higher local prices, spurring the need for out-of-quota imports. Although lower-priced rice was available on the global market, Colombiafulfilled its additional demand with imports of U.S. rice.
While domestic rice prices have fallen from the highs in 2015, Colombia’s Ministry of
Agriculture announced that 200,000 tons of imports would be needed in 2016 due to prolongeddry conditions. According to the declaration, the imports will be subject to normal duties, will be authorized only from countries that have satisfied Colombia’s phytosanitary requirements,and will be imported by the private sector.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
Jan
2015
Feb
2015
Mar
2015
Apr
2015
May
2015
Jun
2015
Jul
2015
Aug
2015
Sep
2015
Oct
2015
Nov
2015
Dec
2015
Jan
2016
US Exports to
Colombia
Colombia
White Rice
U.S. No. 2, 4%
Brokens
U.S. Rice Exports to Colombia Soared Amid High Domestic Prices
U S D / M T
Th o u s an d MT
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Over the past month, the premiums that U.S. and South American quotes hold over Asian havecontinued to shrink. After beginning the 2016 calendar year at $368/ton, Thai quotes rose 6 percent to $389/ton due to deliveries of pre-existing government-to-government sales. Duringthe same period, continued weak demand resulted in Uruguay quotes sliding 6 percent to$470/ton and U.S. quotes falling $25 to $495/ton.
SELECTED TRADE CHANGES for 2016
Indonesia’s imports are lowered 100,000 tons to 1.9 million as larger carryin stocksreduce the need for additional imports in 2016.
Iran’s imports are reduced 150,000 tons to 1.45 million on shipping and financingdifficulties, reflecting stagnant demand growth.
Saudi Arabia’s imports are down 100,000 tons to 1.45 million on indications of a slowerrate of consumption growth in line with prior years.
Thailand’s exports are cut 300,000 tons to 10.0 million on lower production.
Vietnam’s exports are lowered 300,000 tons to 7.0 million on reduced exportable
supplies.
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
$/MT
U.S. #2/4 (long-grain) THAI 100B VIET 5% UGY 5%
Global Rice Export Quotes
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SELECTED TRADE CHANGES for 2015
India’s exports are reduced 200,000 tons to 10.8 million as December exports werelower than expected.
Thailand’s exports are up 579,000 tons to 9.8 million on final data.
Vietnam’s exports are raised 105,000 tons to 6.6 million on final data.
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World Rice Trade
January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
TY Exports
4480325494526608 Argentina
88008958528301,105 Brazil
1,81,8001,7501,6881,1631,357 Burma
88001,1001,0001,075900 Cambodia4450300393447267 China
4400250600700600 Egypt
2270260284203194 European Union
5520536502346265 Guyana
8,58,50010,80010,90710,48010,250 India
4,64,6004,0003,6004,1263,399 Pakistan
5500407380365262 Paraguay
1190170187140314 Russia
10,010,3009,77910,9696,7226,945 Thailand
99507189579391,056 Uruguay
7,07,3006,6056,3256,7007,717 Vietnam
1,09111,1471,2611,4251,430 Others
38,238,77139,04240,39936,18736,669 Subtotal
3,33,3253,4682,9983,2953,298 United States
41,542,09642,51043,39739,48239,967 World Total
no
TY Imports
4450450496430360 Angola
66006001,29011453 Bangladesh
7700365586712732 Brazil
5530525610550450 Cameroon
4,74,7004,5004,1683,4832,900 China
88001,1009508301,265 Cote d'Ivoire
5500575377413330 Cuba
1,51,5001,7501,5561,3751,313 European Union
6600500590725595 Ghana
1,92,0001,1861,2256501,960 Indonesia
1,41,6001,3001,6502,2201,500 Iran
1,21,2001,1001,0801,2941,478 Iraq
7700688669690650 Japan
4460450440410400 Kenya
1,01,0001,0009898851,006 Malaysia
7700700658746680 Mexico
5500480500500445 Mozambique
5450550510340351 Nepal
2,52,5003,0003,2002,4003,400 Nigeria
2,02,0001,8501,8001,0001,500 Philippines
1,41,5501,4201,4101,3261,193 Saudi Arabia
1,11,1001,1001,2001,0751,200 Senegal
1,01,0001,000910990870 South Africa
4460460450440430 United Arab Emirates
5500500480500375 Venezuela
11,011,08810,98012,43811,73511,051 Others
38,839,18838,12940,23235,83336,487 Subtotal
1,92,1333,6232,4102,9742,840 Unaccounted
7775758755675640 United States
41,542,09642,51043,39739,48239,967 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2015/16 is calendar year 2016, 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, and so on.
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World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
Milled Production
34,634,60034,50034,39033,82033,700 Bangladesh
7,98,0008,4658,3008,0377,888 Brazil
12,212,20012,60011,95711,71511,473 Burma
4,34,3504,7004,7254,6704,268 Cambodia145,7145,770144,560142,530143,000140,700 China
4,04,0004,5304,7504,6754,250 Egypt
100,0100,000104,800106,646105,240105,310 India
36,336,30035,56036,30036,55036,500 Indonesia
7,97,9007,8427,9377,9237,812 Japan
4,34,3274,2414,2304,0064,224 Korea, South
6,96,9007,0056,7985,5366,160 Pakistan
11,511,50011,91511,85811,42810,710 Philippines
3,33,3002,8502,8402,6753,138 Sri Lanka
15,916,40018,75020,46020,20020,460 Thailand
28,228,20028,23428,16127,53727,152 Vietnam
40,240,26540,48040,43039,14438,020 Others
463,3464,012471,032472,312466,156461,765 Subtotal
6,16,1077,1066,1176,3485,866 United States
469,5470,119478,138478,429472,504467,631 World Total
no
Consumption and Residual
35,535,50035,20034,90034,50034,300 Bangladesh
7,97,9007,9007,9007,8507,928 Brazil
10,610,65010,65010,45010,40010,200 Burma
3,63,6003,6503,6503,5503,400 Cambodia
150,0150,000147,600146,300144,000139,600 China
4,04,0004,0004,0004,0503,620 Egypt
98,098,00098,00099,18094,03193,334 India
38,338,30038,30038,50038,12738,188 Indonesia
8,38,3758,3088,2858,3678,396 Japan
4,34,3554,4154,4224,4894,880 Korea, South
3,63,5503,7163,8113,3533,677 Nepal
5,85,8505,8005,8005,3005,600 Nigeria
13,213,25013,20012,85012,85012,860 Philippines
11,211,50011,00010,87510,60010,400 Thailand
21,921,90022,10022,00021,90019,650 Vietnam
61,261,41060,89161,27858,93056,838 Others
479,8480,418477,907477,582464,987457,398 Subtotal
3,83,8534,1553,9773,7793,492 United States
483,6484,271482,062481,559468,766460,890 World Total
no
Ending Stocks
47,647,68047,66046,81146,82645,023 China
11,111,18617,68622,75725,44025,100 India
3,83,8613,9475,5016,4767,403 Indonesia
3,33,3623,2023,1082,8572,735 Japan
1,51,5801,188899780755 Korea, South
2,42,4602,2101,6951,4871,509 Philippines
4,94,9749,99511,72412,8089,330 Thailand
12,813,27016,02013,86412,68413,618 Others
87,988,373101,908106,359109,358105,473 Subtotal
1,31,3291,5521,0251,1561,303 United States
89,289,702103,460107,384110,514106,776 World Total
Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.
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Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Jan
2015/16
Fe
2015/1
TY Imports no
1,664 North America 1,776 1,771 1,808 1,835 1,8
845 Caribbean 971 901 1,150 1,075 1,0
1,896 South America 1,843 1,824 1,677 1,947 1,9
114 Other Europe 125 89 105 125 1
469 Former Soviet Union - 12 557 577 421 476 46,455 Middle East 7,152 6,637 6,005 6,620 6,3
777 North Africa 487 480 460 485 4
12,135 Sub-Saharan Africa 11,740 12,909 11,790 11,370 11,3
4,389 East Asia 5,332 5,761 6,022 6,355 6,3
737 South Asia 722 2,581 1,620 1,220 1,2
5,488 Southeast Asia 3,606 5,027 5,294 6,140 6,0
2,158 Others 2,197 2,430 2,535 2,315 2,3
37,127 Total 36,508 40,987 38,887 39,963 39,6
Production no
5,979 North America 6,479 6,248 7,285 6,242 6,2
1,002 Caribbean 974 1,040 1,065 976 9
15,215 South America 15,852 16,384 16,382 16,304 16,2
2,139 European Union - 28 2,100 1,937 1,902 2,005 2,0
1,294 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,294 1,205 1,185 1,225 1,2
2,170 Middle East 2,251 2,450 2,443 2,392 2,34,289 North Africa 4,704 4,789 4,530 4,000 4,0
12,997 Sub-Saharan Africa 13,376 14,006 14,378 14,372 14,3
155,508 East Asia 157,859 157,687 159,553 160,767 160,7
152,027 South Asia 150,631 154,490 152,756 148,420 148,4
113,649 Southeast Asia 115,490 116,867 115,435 112,511 112,0
1,362 Others 1,494 1,326 1,224 905 8
467,631 Total 472,504 478,429 478,138 470,119 469,5
Domestic Consumption no
4,668 North America 4,977 5,202 5,379 5,083 5,0
1,156 Central America 1,171 1,193 1,243 1,247 1,2
1,977 Caribbean 1,964 1,973 2,131 2,078 2,0
14,180 South America 14,404 14,556 14,503 14,748 14,7
3,300 European Union - 28 3,250 3,250 3,265 3,280 3,2
1,435 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,579 1,556 1,429 1,446 1,4
8,603 Middle East 8,854 9,029 8,835 8,990 8,94,045 North Africa 4,572 4,480 4,430 4,460 4,4
23,811 Sub-Saharan Africa 24,777 26,628 26,079 26,285 26,2
156,232 East Asia 160,365 162,597 163,662 166,000 166,0
137,167 South Asia 137,462 143,946 143,507 143,620 143,6
99,128 Southeast Asia 101,994 103,092 103,902 104,261 104,0
661 Others 707 676 520 495 4
456,363 Total 466,076 478,178 478,885 481,993 481,7
Ending Stocks no
1,455 North America 1,345 1,176 1,704 1,443 1,4
235 Central America 189 208 242 245 2
343 Caribbean 279 261 226 199 1
1,606 South America 1,491 1,788 2,000 1,925 1,8
1,146 European Union - 28 1,188 1,163 1,231 1,176 1,1
1,526 Middle East 2,039 1,836 1,521 1,491 1,3
487 North Africa 427 602 916 541 5
2,085 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,297 1,820 2,493 1,619 1,6
48,887 East Asia 50,826 51,106 52,341 52,923 52,9
27,461 South Asia 26,819 25,629 21,610 14,525 14,5
21,371 Southeast Asia 23,197 21,399 18,882 13,405 13,3
40 Oceania 238 241 182 68
134 Others 179 155 112 142 1
106,776 Total 110,514 107,384 103,460 89,702 89,2
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
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16
150
160
170
180
190
200
$ / M T
Corn Daily Export Bids
U.S. Gulf Brazil Paranagua Black Sea Argentina Up River
COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
OVERVIEW
World corn production for 2015/16 is forecast higher, with gains in Argentina and Brazil more
than offsetting smaller crops in Indonesia and South Africa. Global trade is also projected up,highlighted by greater imports for India, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico, South Africa, Turkey, and theUnited States. Exports for Argentina, Brazil, and Paraguay are boosted, more than offsettinglower exports for the United States. The U.S. season-average farm price is unchanged.
South African corn production is projected down 1.0 million tons to 7.0 million, resulting in a300,000-ton boost to 2015/16 imports (Oct-Sep). However, the import forecast for SouthAfrica’s 2015/16 marketing year (beginning May 2016) is doubled to 3.0 million tons on higherexpected demand for exports to Southern African Customs Union (SACU) partners.
PRICES
Since the release of the January WASDE report, price quotes from all major exporters haverisen. U.S. corn export prices climbed $8/ton to $172 with lower estimated U.S. corn productionand confirmation of steady domestic usage. Argentine quotes are maintaining a discount to U.S.quotes, despite rising $14/ton to $169 because of strong export demand. Black Sea quotes are upmarginally to $167/ton. Brazilian prices are seasonally unavailable.
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17
TRADE CHANGES IN 2015/16
Selected Exporters
U.S. corn is cut 1.5 million tons to 42.0 million as sales and shipments continue to face
stiff competition from South America. U.S. imports are up 250,000 tons to 1.25 millionon large shipments to date.
Argentine corn is raised 2.0 million tons to 19.5 million on the continued fast pace ofold-crop sales as well as the expectation of larger new-crop supplies.
Brazilian corn is boosted 1.5 million tons to a record 36.5 million based on the rapid paceof old-crop shipments and the expectation of another large crop in 15/16.
Paraguayan corn is up 400,000 tons to 2.7 million on the faster-than-expected pace ofshipments for October-December.
Argentine barley is raised 200,000 tons to 2.2 million as a result of greater exportablesupplies.
Canadian barley is cut 350,000 tons to 1.35 million on diminished competitiveness andhigher expected feed use resulting from rising wheat prices.
EU barley is boosted 1.0 million tons to 9.0 million on a robust pace of license issued,mostly to China (Chinese imports are up 500,000 tons to 7.5 million).
Selected Importers
Indian corn is raised 350,000 tons to a record 400,000 reflecting recent purchases. Theseare the first sizable imports since 1999/00.
Indonesian corn is raised 300,000 tons to 3.3 million on a smaller crop.
Iranian corn is up 500,000 tons to 5.0 million on higher-than-expected recent arrivals.
Mexican corn is lifted 300,000 tons to 11.3 million on the fast pace of imports and theexpectation that expanded corn feeding will compensate for a smaller sorghum crop.
South African corn is raised 300,000 tons to 2.0 million on a lower production forecast.
Turkish corn is boosted 300,000 tons to 1.2 million on higher-than-expected early-seasonshipments in light of high domestic corn prices.
Saudi barley is raised 500,000 tons to 8.0 million on the strong pace of shipments fromthe EU, Russia, and Ukraine.
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World Coarse Grain Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
TY Exports
22,820,70521,00116,63029,49722,308 Argentina
7,47,4257,2717,0036,4107,279 Australia
36,535,01521,95422,05926,07812,677 Brazil
4,04,4003,5945,4604,6583,853 Canada10,39,30515,0717,8418,9147,177 European Union
1,01,0001,3714,5245,5414,858 India
2,72,3053,0312,7182,8612,188 Paraguay
6,96,9109,1527,0724,3655,997 Russia
1,71,7252,9671,7556282,345 Serbia
19,219,23024,20824,12515,52717,447 Ukraine
7,37,0607,2368,6187,1047,127 Others
120,1115,080116,856107,805111,58393,256 Subtotal
49,951,43556,34056,77220,58640,106 United States
170,0166,515173,196164,577132,169133,362 World Total
no
TY Imports
4,84,8104,8634,9463,2893,741 Algeria
2,02,0001,7061,6211,3271,523 Chile
17,216,75025,69912,4455,6047,924 China
4,84,8304,7474,7954,0904,103 Colombia
8,08,0557,9298,7765,0967,252 Egypt
16,216,2359,25516,29511,7776,908 European Union
3,33,0003,3813,5012,7191,724 Indonesia
6,56,0008,1006,6004,8005,700 Iran
1,91,9751,6102,0731,5641,530 Israel
17,017,07516,72517,50117,74317,730 Japan
1,51,5751,4591,6721,4061,311 Jordan
1,11,100979894202490 Kenya
10,010,09010,25310,4998,2657,726 Korea, South
1,61,6501,6851,4931,220829 Libya
3,53,5003,2213,4763,0483,309 Malaysia
12,011,75011,57011,3177,62712,819 Mexico
2,32,3002,2172,8581,8312,479 Morocco
2,82,8252,8632,3362,4041,927 Peru
11,511,02511,12911,33112,39010,485 Saudi Arabia
2,11,80061123592565 South Africa
4,24,2003,9354,3564,3984,478 Taiwan
1,51,5001,5251,4491,6101,071 Tunisia
1,29552,5801,9771,922782 Turkey
2,12,1002,4332,6272,1542,596 Venezuela
3,03,0003,5002,8001,7001,600 Vietnam
18,117,48518,45316,96415,01416,414 Others
160,9157,585162,428154,837123,292127,016 Subtotal
5,45,5707,4816,4182,3623,204 Unaccounted
3,63,3603,2873,3226,5153,142 United States
170,0166,515173,196164,577132,169133,362 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
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World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
Production
35,033,46134,03235,66537,24630,105 Argentina
12,612,67511,65112,15811,41412,257 Australia
86,584,08387,60382,60384,25375,884 Brazil
25,625,66021,99228,74524,44522,921 Canada231,5231,580222,750225,408212,192198,635 China
12,412,40013,35014,46812,28612,264 Ethiopia
150,9150,679170,644158,916145,942149,923 European Union
39,139,10041,97143,21639,91042,058 India
9,19,6008,8009,1008,5008,850 Indonesia
30,731,32532,39032,02028,88125,689 Mexico
17,917,95019,01519,29218,57317,421 Nigeria
7,87,8007,6717,5327,2617,130 Philippines
37,337,32040,38635,73528,65833,077 Russia
14,114,0759,47513,07510,59511,299 Turkey
33,233,25039,38940,02229,52833,476 Ukraine
152,9154,089159,100155,980151,197153,104 Others
897,3895,047920,219913,935850,881834,093 Subtotal
366,9366,902377,234367,089285,311322,451 United States
1,264,21,261,9491,297,4531,281,0241,136,1921,156,544 World Total
no
Domestic Consumption
14,514,77614,03213,69512,05010,510 Argentina
60,861,86859,99858,02855,80354,653 Brazil
21,921,80321,29122,37220,33920,285 Canada
237,4235,475229,059223,546209,671196,192 China
15,415,45814,80914,08012,91012,736 Egypt
12,712,62514,05014,30012,15011,850 Ethiopia
161,4161,445163,270164,105153,095151,460 European Union
39,439,15040,00037,60035,07537,650 India
12,712,72012,02011,32010,52010,320 Iran
17,117,22516,98517,67018,03017,990 Japan
42,842,81541,92540,88536,19537,985 Mexico
18,118,15018,95019,35018,70017,321 Nigeria
30,430,42031,13928,61925,13427,728 Russia
14,414,13013,08013,43013,00511,755 Turkey
14,013,93015,23015,97714,66115,559 Ukraine
237,1237,007233,818225,160217,892214,532 Others
945,4945,189955,246928,322859,012866,627 Subtotal
315,7315,070311,347305,048275,537288,857 United States
1,261,11,260,2591,266,5931,233,3701,134,5491,155,484 World Total
no
Ending Stocks
8,58,0899,91614,2579,5594,821 Brazil
4,04,0593,3424,6483,0243,390 Canada
112,8114,800102,02082,65268,37860,362 China
13,913,69617,99215,53113,08315,745 European Union
6,66,1747,2345,0944,6544,684 Iran
3,84,0674,8073,5831,6281,857 Mexico
3,93,7973,8773,8883,3913,211 Saudi Arabia
39,939,69045,89947,20936,27339,989 Others
193,8194,372195,087176,862139,990134,059 Subtotal
51,350,41346,94834,31323,53127,819 United States
245,1244,785242,035211,175163,521161,878 World Total
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Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Jan
2015/16
Fe
2015/1
TY Imports no
16,725 North America 14,665 15,353 16,567 16,145 16,6
2,769 Central America 2,470 2,923 3,460 3,375 3,5
2,156 Caribbean 2,327 2,330 2,444 2,410 2,4
11,967 South America 11,812 13,182 13,355 13,350 13,4
6,908 European Union - 28 11,777 16,295 9,255 16,235 16,21,037 Former Soviet Union - 12 722 816 752 815 8
23,515 Middle East 25,076 26,613 27,765 24,340 25,6
15,372 North Africa 13,046 19,522 18,219 18,315 18,3
3,328 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,745 3,629 4,429 5,765 6,1
38,040 East Asia 36,163 44,880 56,669 48,215 48,6
7,317 Southeast Asia 8,058 11,287 11,443 10,680 10,9
1,024 Others 946 1,329 1,357 1,300 1,6
130,158 Total 129,807 158,159 165,715 160,945 164,6
Production no
371,061 North America 338,637 427,854 431,616 423,887 423,3
119,602 South America 136,025 131,844 135,041 131,105 135,2
149,923 European Union - 28 145,942 158,916 170,644 150,679 150,9
9,497 Other Europe 6,570 8,813 10,696 8,446 8,4
78,648 Former Soviet Union - 12 68,222 87,749 91,773 81,976 82,2
20,412 Middle East 18,769 21,737 17,957 22,796 22,811,142 North Africa 10,126 11,647 11,192 12,532 12,5
99,469 Sub-Saharan Africa 103,590 103,848 105,158 98,090 97,0
200,771 East Asia 214,616 227,807 225,149 233,989 233,9
50,175 South Asia 47,642 51,986 50,512 47,754 47,7
28,379 Southeast Asia 29,138 30,968 30,863 32,503 32,0
12,813 Oceania 12,082 12,805 12,329 13,385 13,3
4,652 Others 4,833 5,050 4,523 4,807 4,4
1,156,544 Total 1,136,192 1,281,024 1,297,453 1,261,949 1,264,2
Domestic Consumption no
347,127 North America 332,071 368,305 374,563 379,688 380,4
86,793 South America 89,796 94,422 97,010 100,192 98,9
151,460 European Union - 28 153,095 164,105 163,270 161,445 161,4
8,375 Other Europe 7,100 7,707 7,974 8,030 8,0
54,378 Former Soviet Union - 12 50,225 55,679 57,998 56,156 56,2
41,186 Middle East 43,027 45,890 45,367 47,631 48,225,266 North Africa 24,941 27,998 30,197 31,240 31,2
97,790 Sub-Saharan Africa 103,311 103,168 107,481 104,345 104,4
228,717 East Asia 243,025 257,800 262,657 269,346 271,2
45,605 South Asia 42,604 46,367 48,915 48,126 48,4
34,612 Southeast Asia 35,867 37,904 40,131 41,465 41,4
6,518 Oceania 6,132 5,765 5,272 5,924 5,9
9,556 Others 9,573 10,075 10,168 10,479 10,4
1,137,383 Total 1,140,767 1,225,185 1,251,003 1,264,067 1,266,5
Ending Stocks no
33,066 North America 28,183 42,544 55,097 58,539 59,1
9,644 South America 15,559 21,379 15,080 12,853 13,9
15,745 European Union - 28 13,083 15,531 17,992 13,696 13,9
1,024 Other Europe 603 766 1,200 786 7
6,181 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,037 7,114 7,848 6,084 6,0
10,547 Middle East 10,059 11,817 13,064 12,549 13,3
5,504 North Africa 3,526 5,719 5,649 5,346 5,3
9,272 Sub-Saharan Africa 9,055 9,971 10,289 7,554 7,5
63,392 East Asia 71,012 85,916 105,071 118,021 115,8
2,676 South Asia 2,445 3,938 4,240 3,068 3,1
3,061 Southeast Asia 3,275 4,396 4,191 3,769 3,5
978 Oceania 915 1,134 1,268 1,409 1,4
788 Others 769 950 1,046 1,111 1,0
161,878 Total 163,521 211,175 242,035 244,785 245,1
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
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World Corn Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
TY Exports
19,517,50018,44712,84622,78916,501 Argentina
36,535,00021,90922,04126,04412,674 Brazil
9900850700550200 Burma
1,01,0003951,9171,813494 Canada1,01,0004,0302,4052,1933,287 European Union
1,01,000784501522694 Mexico
2,72,3003,0122,7142,8582,188 Paraguay
3,83,8003,2134,1921,9172,027 Russia
1,71,7002,9641,7366012,331 Serbia
15,515,50019,66120,00412,72615,157 Ukraine
5,25,0755,79110,41410,2529,787 Others
88,884,77581,05679,47082,26565,340 Subtotal
42,043,50046,77350,68418,26238,342 United States
130,8128,275127,829130,154100,527103,682 World Total
no
TY Imports
4,24,2004,1164,1562,9183,231 Algeria
1,01,0001,533679493747 Canada
1,81,8001,5161,456844906 Chile
2,52,5005,5163,2772,7025,231 China
4,54,5004,4964,4363,2663,209 Colombia
1,11,1001,2021,0111,0461,054 Dominican Republic
8,08,0007,8268,7265,0597,154 Egypt
16,016,0008,75615,95211,3626,113 European Union
3,33,0003,3813,5012,7191,724 Indonesia
5,04,5006,2005,5003,7004,000 Iran
1,61,6001,2961,6521,2241,221 Israel
14,714,70014,65615,12114,41214,892 Japan
1,01,000900800100400 Kenya
10,010,00010,16810,4068,1747,636 Korea, South
3,53,5003,2213,4763,0483,309 Malaysia
11,311,00011,26910,9545,67611,172 Mexico
2,12,1001,9412,3491,6841,943 Morocco
2,72,7002,7412,2322,2541,772 Peru
3,53,5002,9042,6842,0631,816 Saudi Arabia
2,01,700469790424 South Africa
4,14,1003,8214,1894,2324,341 Taiwan
1,11,1001,042993846853 Tunisia
1,29002,2381,3811,656729 Turkey
2,12,1002,4332,6262,1542,596 Venezuela
3,03,0003,5002,8001,7001,600 Vietnam
14,714,15014,11613,95511,55012,615 Others
126,0123,750121,257124,39194,882100,688 Subtotal
3,53,5255,7635,0361,3802,229 Unaccounted
1,21,0008097274,265765 United States
130,8128,275127,829130,154100,527103,682 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
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World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
Production
27,025,60027,00026,00027,00021,000 Argentina
84,081,50085,00080,00081,50073,000 Brazil
13,613,60011,48714,19413,06011,359 Canada
224,5224,580215,646218,490205,614192,780 China6,06,0005,9605,8005,8005,500 Egypt
57,757,75175,79364,63558,89668,123 European Union
21,021,00023,67024,25922,25821,759 India
9,19,6008,8009,1008,5008,850 Indonesia
23,523,50025,48022,88021,59118,726 Mexico
7,07,0007,5157,7007,6309,250 Nigeria
7,87,8007,6717,5327,2617,130 Philippines
13,013,00011,32511,6358,2136,962 Russia
7,08,00010,80014,92512,36512,759 South Africa
6,16,0004,8005,1004,4003,600 Turkey
23,323,50028,45030,90020,92222,838 Ukraine
93,894,01498,50696,95891,30193,347 Others
624,5622,445647,903640,108596,311576,983 Subtotal
345,4345,486361,091351,272273,192312,789 United States
970,0967,9311,008,994991,380869,503889,772 World Total
no
Total Consumption
9,59,8009,1008,8007,9007,000 Argentina
58,059,00057,00055,00052,50051,500 Brazil
13,413,35012,82012,70011,60511,636 Canada
216,0214,000202,000208,000200,000188,000 China
14,514,50013,90013,20012,00011,700 Egypt
76,076,00078,00076,50069,60069,500 European Union
21,721,40022,00019,60017,50017,200 India
12,712,70012,20011,90010,90010,500 Indonesia
14,714,70014,70015,10014,50014,900 Japan
10,110,10010,2509,8918,4817,815 Korea, South
34,734,30034,45031,70027,00029,000 Mexico
8,68,6008,5008,0007,4007,400 Philippines
9,29,2008,1007,5006,4004,700 Russia
10,710,70011,50011,50011,00010,700 South Africa
8,48,4009,4009,7008,1007,800 Ukraine
155,9155,843155,284150,127141,421140,894 Others
665,3664,709675,751656,373601,661606,991 Subtotal
302,1301,512301,854292,965262,973277,961 United States
967,4966,221977,605949,338864,634884,952 World Total
no
Ending Stocks
8,17,6729,57213,9729,1504,212 Brazil
111,4113,494100,46481,31567,57059,335 China
1,71,7642,2742,3981,0762,220 Egypt
6,06,0999,3486,8295,1476,682 European Union
5,44,9565,8164,4763,2363,336 Iran
1,81,8981,8601,8601,2651,489 Korea, South
3,33,4094,2092,6941,0611,316 Mexico
24,023,86428,66229,95423,38424,167 Others
162,1163,156162,205143,498111,889102,757 Subtotal
46,645,78243,97431,29220,85925,122 United States
208,8208,938206,179174,790132,748127,879 World Total
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Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Jan
2015/16
Fe
2015/1
TY Imports no
12,684 North America 10,434 12,360 13,611 13,000 13,5
2,766 Central America 2,470 2,922 3,460 3,375 3,5
9,886 South America 9,651 12,027 12,040 12,050 12,0
6,113 European Union - 28 11,362 15,952 8,756 16,000 16,0
327 Former Soviet Union - 12 321 447 470 490 410,853 Middle East 10,942 13,812 15,198 13,000 13,8
13,827 North Africa 11,154 17,036 15,609 16,150 16,1
2,660 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,096 2,937 3,740 5,225 5,5
32,282 East Asia 29,673 33,072 34,218 31,400 31,4
7,304 Southeast Asia 8,040 11,246 11,432 10,665 10,9
2,156 Caribbean 2,327 2,330 2,444 2,410 2,4
595 Others 677 977 1,088 985 1,3
101,453 Total 99,147 125,118 122,066 124,750 127,2
Production no
342,874 North America 307,843 388,346 398,058 382,586 382,5
105,578 South America 120,997 117,456 123,479 118,475 122,3
68,123 European Union - 28 58,896 64,635 75,793 57,751 57,7
7,810 Other Europe 4,915 7,210 8,945 6,676 6,6
34,121 Former Soviet Union - 12 32,310 46,916 43,725 39,910 39,9
7,164 Middle East 7,480 8,138 7,853 9,043 9,15,722 North Africa 5,891 6,001 6,161 6,201 6,2
62,102 Sub-Saharan Africa 60,564 64,296 60,868 54,851 53,8
194,585 East Asia 207,737 220,583 217,739 226,693 226,6
28,646 South Asia 28,857 31,865 31,035 28,470 28,4
3,602 Central America 3,743 3,893 3,366 3,650 3,3
28,138 Southeast Asia 28,893 30,721 30,618 32,258 31,7
1,307 Others 1,377 1,320 1,354 1,367 1,3
889,772 Total 869,503 991,380 1,008,994 967,931 970,0
Domestic Consumption no
318,597 North America 301,578 337,365 349,124 349,162 350,2
76,391 South America 78,981 83,566 86,456 89,380 87,9
69,500 European Union - 28 69,600 76,500 78,000 76,000 76,0
6,392 Other Europe 5,194 5,847 6,022 6,010 6,0
16,420 Former Soviet Union - 12 18,080 21,131 21,401 21,505 21,5
17,585 Middle East 18,710 19,785 21,835 22,435 22,718,000 North Africa 18,450 20,800 22,100 23,100 23,1
60,348 Sub-Saharan Africa 60,033 62,828 63,095 60,388 60,3
217,047 East Asia 229,434 239,295 232,977 245,025 247,0
23,875 South Asia 23,880 27,182 29,705 29,170 29,4
34,357 Southeast Asia 35,609 37,653 39,849 41,210 41,2
6,350 Central America 6,175 6,650 6,690 6,935 6,8
3,344 Others 3,556 3,581 3,804 3,785 3,7
868,206 Total 869,280 942,183 961,058 974,105 976,3
Ending Stocks no
27,803 North America 23,469 35,586 49,585 50,843 51,5
8,290 South America 13,629 19,008 13,142 11,084 12,0
6,682 European Union - 28 5,147 6,829 9,348 6,099 6,0
771 Other Europe 353 517 961 542 5
2,441 Former Soviet Union - 12 2,003 3,421 3,057 2,533 2,4
4,510 Middle East 4,228 5,957 7,071 6,434 7,0
2,994 North Africa 1,719 3,168 3,336 2,577 2,5
7,058 Sub-Saharan Africa 6,631 7,966 7,897 5,490 5,4
61,841 East Asia 69,711 84,099 103,081 116,223 114,0
1,628 South Asia 1,780 2,842 3,384 2,159 2,2
3,058 Southeast Asia 3,270 4,390 4,185 3,763 3,5
503 Central America 474 610 587 642 5
300 Others 334 397 545 549 5
127,879 Total 132,748 174,790 206,179 208,938 208,8
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
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World Barley Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
TY Exports
2,22,0001,5982,8293,6473,631 Argentina
6,06,0005,2686,2624,6215,819 Australia
1,31,7001,3841,7141,3161,437 Canada
9,08,00010,6424,9266,4733,646 European Union22009754654252 India
6500476501151659 Kazakhstan
3,03,0005,8032,7912,3663,668 Russia
253182614 Serbia
251090103 Turkey
3,63,6004,3323,8272,6592,166 Ukraine
351566916622 Others
26,025,08529,76923,49221,96721,217 Subtotal
3300292336163179 United States
26,325,38530,06123,82822,13021,396 World Total
no
TY Imports
6600723778364501 Algeria
1100125781449 Azerbaijan
4400489338369274 Brazil
110093567973 Chile
7,57,0009,8594,8912,1842,541 China
2275249253232301 Colombia
11002685852364 European Union
1,51,5001,9001,1001,1001,700 Iran
3325278304244276 Israel
1,31,3001,0971,2941,3561,257 Japan
9900759997831736 Jordan
4400412436388376 Kuwait
99001,001681573183 Libya
115018610847144 Mexico
2200276471147536 Morocco
11001228710397 Peru
8,07,5008,2008,50010,2008,600 Saudi Arabia
4400483456764218 Tunisia
4400400468541524 United Arab Emirates
117518912625277 Uruguay
99351,4171,5711,3681,579 Others
24,723,76028,52623,05121,20820,406 Subtotal
1,11,1751,105255491520 Unaccounted
4450430522431470 United States
26,325,38530,06123,82822,13021,396 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
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World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
Production
1,31,3001,3001,5001,5001,350 Algeria
3,63,4002,9004,7505,0004,500 Argentina
8,78,7008,0149,1747,4728,221 Australia
2,02,0002,2501,6741,9171,979 Belarus8,28,2257,11910,2378,0127,892 Canada
1,71,7001,8101,7001,6261,637 China
1,91,9002,1002,0531,7821,592 Ethiopia
60,960,96260,46059,67454,87551,883 European Union
1,61,6001,8311,7521,6191,663 India
3,33,3003,2002,8002,7702,900 Iran
2,62,6002,4122,5391,5002,593 Kazakhstan
3,53,5001,7002,7001,2002,340 Morocco
17,117,10020,02615,38913,95216,938 Russia
7,47,4004,0007,3005,5007,000 Turkey
8,78,7009,4507,5616,9359,098 Ukraine
8,78,7748,6608,8448,3548,394 Others
141,4141,161137,232139,647124,014129,980 Subtotal
4,64,6663,9534,7194,7683,370 United States
146,1145,827141,185144,366128,782133,350 World Total
no
Total Consumption
2,02,0502,0502,0502,0001,800 Algeria
1,51,5001,5001,7001,3001,200 Argentina
2,62,6002,6002,8003,0003,300 Australia
2,22,2002,1001,8002,0002,100 Belarus
6,66,5006,4727,7206,8096,916 Canada
8,88,80011,6006,3004,0003,800 China
2,02,0252,1002,0001,7251,600 Ethiopia
53,153,10051,00053,40051,00051,200 European Union
4,84,8004,6004,5004,3004,100 Iran
2,12,1002,0002,0001,3751,825 Kazakhstan
3,03,0002,7002,3001,9003,100 Morocco
13,913,90014,10012,70012,10014,300 Russia
8,58,2258,1258,6258,3257,225 Saudi Arabia
6,96,9005,3506,9506,2006,750 Turkey
4,54,5004,5005,0005,1006,300 Ukraine
16,816,86616,57816,42115,74315,559 Others
141,7141,797136,424136,002126,398130,811 Subtotal
4,44,4204,2344,7754,6384,170 United States
146,1146,217140,658140,777131,036134,981 World Total
no
Ending Stocks
1,21,2041,3041,1781,2171,458 Algeria
1,51,4921,2171,9509831,195 Canada
5,15,1615,6495,6485,0716,069 European Union
1,21,2181,4186181,4181,348 Iran
1,11,1611,561932726848 Russia
3,43,2763,4863,3963,0062,814 Saudi Arabia
1,21,1721,4679728731,172 Ukraine
7,47,4636,7367,5375,3896,477 Others
22,422,14722,83822,23118,68321,381 Subtotal
2,02,0661,7111,7911,7501,306 United States
24,524,21324,54924,02220,43322,687 World Total
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Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Jan
2015/16
Fe
2015/1
TY Imports no
620 North America 499 639 781 625 6
851 South America 1,064 887 1,169 1,085 1,0
364 European Union - 28 52 58 268 100 1
209 Other Europe 127 163 119 160 1
697 Former Soviet Union - 12 375 362 276 320 312,543 Middle East 13,906 12,537 12,496 11,260 11,7
1,482 North Africa 1,885 2,433 2,581 2,150 2,1
100 Sub-Saharan Africa 52 116 138 65
3,924 East Asia 3,663 6,320 11,081 8,425 8,9
67 South Asia 7 12 15 10
19 Oceania 9 46 32 10
20,876 Total 21,639 23,573 28,956 24,210 25,2
Production no
11,749 North America 13,812 15,506 11,622 13,476 13,4
5,507 South America 5,884 5,737 3,809 4,393 4,5
51,883 European Union - 28 54,875 59,674 60,460 60,962 60,9
1,189 Other Europe 1,188 1,151 1,270 1,287 1,2
32,227 Former Soviet Union - 12 25,958 29,153 35,784 32,250 32,3
11,705 Middle East 9,689 12,047 8,658 12,358 12,3
4,410 North Africa 3,306 4,725 4,109 5,409 5,42,099 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,283 2,521 2,602 2,447 2,4
1,962 East Asia 1,920 2,000 2,111 1,990 1,9
2,081 South Asia 1,956 2,261 2,340 2,103 2,1
8,538 Oceania 7,911 9,591 8,420 9,152 9,1
133,350 Total 128,782 144,366 141,185 145,827 146,1
Domestic Consumption no
11,786 North America 12,347 13,195 11,406 11,645 11,7
3,052 South America 3,152 3,528 3,428 3,560 3,5
51,200 European Union - 28 51,000 53,400 51,000 53,100 53,1
1,366 Other Europe 1,298 1,298 1,389 1,422 1,4
26,268 Former Soviet Union - 12 22,339 23,451 24,605 24,755 24,7
22,016 Middle East 22,435 24,410 21,883 23,721 24,0
6,186 North Africa 5,560 6,230 7,159 7,208 7,2
2,133 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,285 2,555 2,640 2,615 2,6
5,580 East Asia 5,806 8,009 13,135 10,500 10,42,008 South Asia 1,868 1,715 1,914 1,910 1,9
3,650 Oceania 3,425 3,250 3,050 3,050 3,0
135,245 Total 131,515 141,041 141,609 143,486 143,9
Ending Stocks no
2,621 North America 3,014 3,980 3,186 3,826 3,8
543 South America 656 815 716 683 6
6,069 European Union - 28 5,071 5,648 5,649 5,161 5,1
205 Other Europe 223 208 201 201 2
2,760 Former Soviet Union - 12 2,193 2,638 3,805 2,870 2,8
5,940 Middle East 5,736 5,788 5,928 6,050 6,2
2,449 North Africa 1,740 2,482 2,239 2,690 2,6
283 Sub-Saharan Africa 330 408 508 405 4
961 East Asia 737 1,048 1,105 1,000 1,0
280 South Asia 142 255 266 269 2
576 Oceania 591 752 946 1,058 1,0
22,687 Total 20,433 24,022 24,549 24,213 24,5
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
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World Sorghum Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
TY Exports
1,11,2009549533,0592,163 Argentina
1,01,0001,6994051,4251,185 Australia
10131120 Brazil
110011889231132 India3040513216 Kenya
50100505075 Nigeria
1100156229124113 Ukraine
1145194240233216 Others
2,52,6353,2742,0285,1563,900 Subtotal
7,67,6009,2495,7172,1361,549 United States
10,110,23512,5237,7457,2925,449 World Total
no
TY Imports
110097109404544 Chile
7,07,00010,1624,16163184 China
500104591592 Colombia
15075505030 Ethiopia
80131186291126 European Union
91,0009031,0031,8971,481 Japan
1100799410274 Kenya
5500291621,7931,369 Mexico
5075125613 South Sudan
7510075175125 Sudan
3350342684674650 Others
9,49,35511,9936,7536,6145,088 Subtotal
5770503989435358 Unaccounted
11102732433 United States
10,110,23512,5237,7457,2925,449 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
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World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
Production
3,93,9003,5004,4004,7004,200 Argentina
2,22,2002,1041,2822,2302,239 Australia
2,02,0002,0001,8902,1022,222 Brazil
1,91,9001,8361,8801,9241,500 Burkina1,11,1501,1501,1501,1001,150 Cameroon
99009007451,172648 Chad
2,92,9002,8852,8922,5562,051 China
3,83,8004,0004,1143,6043,951 Ethiopia
5,55,5005,0505,5425,2815,979 India
1,31,3001,3008201,2121,191 Mali
6,67,1506,2708,5006,1746,425 Mexico
1,11,1001,0001,2871,376807 Niger
6,16,1506,7006,5925,9436,900 Nigeria
5,55,5006,2812,2494,5244,605 Sudan
8840840832839807 Tanzania
6,76,7276,6847,1136,6547,124 Others
52,453,01752,50051,28851,39151,799 Subtotal
15,115,15810,9889,9666,2935,410 United States
67,668,17563,48861,25457,68457,209 World Total
no
Total Consumption
3,02,9002,8002,7002,3001,900 Argentina
1,21,2055059051,1051,105 Australia
1,91,9002,0002,0002,3002,175 Brazil
1,91,9001,8001,9001,9001,500 Burkina
1,11,1751,1751,1651,1101,175 Cameroon
99009008501,150650 Chad
10,010,00012,9006,8003,2002,200 China
4,03,9004,1004,2003,7003,700 Ethiopia
5,35,3505,1005,2005,1506,000 India
91,0009301,0301,9001,475 Japan
1,31,3001,2009501,2001,300 Mali
7,27,6006,6008,3008,1008,100 Mexico
1,11,1001,1001,3001,200950 Niger
6,06,0506,6506,5505,9006,800 Nigeria
5,85,8006,0002,5504,7004,500 Sudan
8,08,1068,1598,5029,0769,539 Others
61,061,50461,90955,97252,79354,553 Subtotal
5,85,8432,4294,1274,7963,916 United States
66,967,34764,33860,09957,58958,469 World Total
no
Ending Stocks
87029021,202781164 Argentina
2228138151272472 Brazil
5581706568326366 China
2243193364109206 India
2388338647285418 Mexico
2200150200208215 Nigeria
4493723357588609 Sudan
1,31,3621,4481,5631,8071,633 Others
4,14,1974,5985,0524,3764,083 Subtotal
1,61,655468864385583 United States
5,75,8525,0665,9164,7614,666 World Total
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Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Jan
2015/16
Fe
2015/1
TY Imports no
1,372 North America 2,036 165 56 610 6
1,199 South America 1,071 239 116 185 2
126 European Union - 28 291 186 131 80
0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0
101 Middle East 194 231 36 5054 North Africa 0 41 5 5
557 Sub-Saharan Africa 586 557 501 450 5
1,655 East Asia 2,650 5,281 11,135 8,055 8,0
13 Southeast Asia 18 41 11 15
14 Others 11 15 29 15
5,091 Total 6,857 6,756 12,020 9,465 9,5
Production no
11,835 North America 12,467 18,466 17,258 22,308 21,7
312 Central America 339 335 335 335 3
92 Caribbean 92 94 94 94
7,247 South America 7,495 7,081 6,349 6,822 6,8
671 European Union - 28 473 703 880 797 7
764 Middle East 814 789 692 635 6
847 North Africa 763 755 756 756 7
24,802 Sub-Saharan Africa 24,783 22,782 26,701 25,524 25,52,054 East Asia 2,560 2,895 2,887 2,904 2,9
6,116 South Asia 5,404 5,661 5,153 5,645 5,6
54 Southeast Asia 55 57 55 55
2,239 Oceania 2,230 1,282 2,104 2,200 2,2
176 Others 209 354 224 100 1
57,209 Total 57,684 61,254 63,488 68,175 67,6
Domestic Consumption no
12,016 North America 12,896 12,427 9,029 13,443 13,0
320 Central America 325 325 330 340 3
92 Caribbean 92 94 94 94
6,104 South America 6,076 5,789 5,760 5,897 5,9
760 European Union - 28 795 880 995 870 8
789 Middle East 1,052 894 865 685 6
908 North Africa 756 794 756 756 7
24,850 Sub-Saharan Africa 25,038 23,500 26,709 26,049 26,13,771 East Asia 5,221 7,951 13,906 11,060 10,9
6,147 South Asia 5,283 5,334 5,232 5,510 5,5
68 Southeast Asia 68 61 92 65
1,105 Oceania 1,105 905 505 1,205 1,2
55 Others 80 75 75 55
56,985 Total 58,787 59,029 64,348 66,029 65,7
Ending Stocks no
1,001 North America 670 1,511 806 2,043 1,8
23 Central America 30 33 33 23
718 South America 1,146 1,427 1,121 981 1,0
14 European Union - 28 5 19 21 13
56 Middle East 65 47 35 35
60 North Africa 66 68 73 78
1,890 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,037 1,557 1,844 1,619 1,6
451 East Asia 413 627 735 672 6
206 South Asia 109 364 193 243 2
230 Oceania 195 187 136 131 1
17 Others 25 76 69 14
4,666 Total 4,761 5,916 5,066 5,852 5,7
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
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World Oats Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
TY Exports
522213 Argentina
3350250270240174 Australia
1,61,6001,7261,7321,3511,763 Canada
75844941106 Chile2150231291126176 European Union
10156418 Russia
1046622 Ukraine
10814107 Others
2,32,2102,3622,3701,7762,259 Subtotal
3023291828 United States
2,32,2402,3852,3991,7942,287 World Total
no
TY Imports
05000 Albania
10241279 Algeria
54323 Bosnia and Herzegovina
101226911 Canada
22501621168768 China
52211 Colombia
2021211922 Ecuador
54343 European Union
5047465154 Japan
11008693111134 Mexico
402383649 Norway
53222 Serbia
2550191111 South Africa
5049514456 Switzerland
55004 Turkey
588615 Others
6585484440390442 Subtotal
1551429349115 Unaccounted
1,61,6001,7591,8661,3551,730 United States
2,32,2402,3852,3991,7942,287 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
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World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
Production
111011011011067 Algeria
4485525445496345 Argentina
1,31,3001,0871,2551,1211,262 Australia
4400470352422448 Belarus3300300380361354 Brazil
3,43,4302,9793,9062,8303,158 Canada
4470421610680451 Chile
6600600580600600 China
7,67,6407,8458,3807,9097,927 European Union
2250226305200258 Kazakhstan
9090908451 Mexico
2236236214232231 Norway
4,54,5505,2674,9324,0275,332 Russia
2210210210210218 Turkey
4375610467630506 Ukraine
3349315328315372 Others
20,920,79521,29122,56420,22721,580 Subtotal
1,31,3001,019938892728 United States
22,222,09522,31023,50221,11922,308 World Total
no
Total Consumption
112012611811975 Algeria
5500525425500350 Argentina
99008759509251,100 Australia
4400450375400450 Belarus
2290295375350350 Brazil
1,61,6501,6761,6601,5921,361 Canada
3375355570600400 Chile
8875750700675625 China
7,67,6757,6758,0757,7007,800 European Union
2250225275225225 Kazakhstan
1190175185195185 Mexico
2270245245295270 Norway
4,64,6005,2004,9004,3005,000 Russia
2215215215215215 Turkey
4375600475600500 Ukraine
5514505502451519 Others
19,319,21619,89320,26419,21719,589 Subtotal
2,82,8282,4242,7572,7432,499 United States
22,222,04422,31723,02121,96022,088 World Total
no
Ending Stocks
4262674955 Argentina
11176710560134 Australia
88716811,054446805 Canada
4626456125 Chile
1122147135139127 China
6669849894901795 European Union
2229289230203485 Russia
1175180199221225 Others
2,22,2712,3012,7292,0802,651 Subtotal
8860780359527797 United States
3,03,1313,0813,0882,6073,448 World Total
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Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Jan
2015/16
Fe
2015/1
TY Imports no
1,875 North America 1,475 1,985 1,857 1,710 1,7
31 South America 26 29 30 30
3 European Union - 28 4 3 4 5
110 Other Europe 84 94 63 100 1
7 Former Soviet Union - 12 0 2 1 04 Middle East 0 0 5 5
9 North Africa 7 12 24 10
11 Sub-Saharan Africa 11 19 50 25
122 East Asia 138 162 209 300 3
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0
2,172 Total 1,745 2,306 2,243 2,185 2,2
Production no
3,937 North America 3,806 4,934 4,088 4,820 4,8
1,191 South America 1,577 1,478 1,274 1,316 1,3
7,927 European Union - 28 7,909 8,380 7,845 7,640 7,6
373 Other Europe 365 348 369 372 3
6,549 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,285 6,062 6,579 5,581 5,6
218 Middle East 210 210 210 210 2
163 North Africa 166 166 166 166 1
57 Sub-Saharan Africa 60 59 55 55602 East Asia 602 582 602 601 6
1,291 Oceania 1,139 1,283 1,122 1,334 1,3
22,308 Total 21,119 23,502 22,310 22,095 22,2
Domestic Consumption no
4,045 North America 4,530 4,602 4,275 4,668 4,6
1,167 South America 1,515 1,447 1,236 1,256 1,2
7,800 European Union - 28 7,700 8,075 7,675 7,675 7,6
478 Other Europe 474 434 437 467 4
6,180 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,531 6,032 6,481 5,631 5,6
215 Middle East 215 215 215 215 2
172 North Africa 175 174 182 176 1
53 Sub-Saharan Africa 72 95 105 80
685 East Asia 730 750 800 925 9
1,129 Oceania 943 978 910 934 9
21,924 Total 21,885 22,802 22,316 22,027 22,1
Ending Stocks no
1,605 North America 974 1,416 1,463 1,733 1,7
93 South America 128 129 101 105 1
795 European Union - 28 901 894 849 669 6
48 Other Europe 27 41 38 43
592 Former Soviet Union - 12 332 346 395 320 3
17 Middle East 12 7 7 7
1 North Africa 1 1 1 1
29 Sub-Saharan Africa 28 11 11 11
134 East Asia 144 138 149 125 1
134 Oceania 60 105 67 117 1
3,448 Total 2,607 3,088 3,081 3,131 3,0
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
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World Rye Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
TY Exports
5552525 Belarus
11008997178159 Canada
115016720112259 European Union
11001218378284 Russia201359169 Ukraine
00004 Others
3375395445419540 Subtotal
53678 United States
3380398451426548 World Total
no
TY Imports
50969668302 European Union
2525333411 Israel
2522372746 Japan
10481211 Korea, South
155162111 Norway
555250 Russia
56692 Switzerland
05129 Others
1135168202198392 Subtotal
45-32457-18 Unaccounted
2200262204221174 United States
3380398451426548 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
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World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Jan
2015/1
Fe
no
Production
5697524045 Argentina
88009506481,082801 Belarus
2225218223337241 Canada
7,97,6608,85810,1518,7636,900 European Union2,12,1003,2793,3602,1322,967 Russia
3350350350370366 Turkey
3375475638676579 Ukraine
1134144126146137 Others
12,011,70014,37115,54813,54612,036 Subtotal
2292183194166154 United States
12,211,99214,55415,74213,71212,190 World Total
no
Total Consumption
5697524045 Argentina
88009506501,000750 Belarus
1123134107127101 Canada
7,87,8008,9009,6508,7007,400 European Union
2525333411 Israel
5065405030 Kazakhstan
2720282627 Norway
2,12,1503,2503,1002,0002,850 Russia
3350350350375375 Turkey
4400475625625625 Ukraine
1112106127139161 Others
11,811,90314,37514,76713,14612,346 Subtotal
4467406424387311 United States
12,312,37014,78115,19113,53312,657 World Total
no
Ending Stocks
1150155160167110 Belarus
4442444625 Canada
1,18401,0801,204795747 European Union
22633 Kazakhstan
1140265345153129 Russia
2323181824 Turkey
61106128166132 Ukraine
11475 Others
1,51,2611,6741,9091,3551,175 Subtotal
501571011 United States
1,61,3111,6891,9161,3651,186 World Total
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Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Jan
2015/16
Fe
2015/1
TY Imports no
174 North America 221 204 262 200 2
0 South America 0 0 0 0
302 European Union - 28 68 96 96 50
14 Other Europe 32 23 11 20
5 Former Soviet Union - 12 25 5 5 514 Middle East 34 33 30 25
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0
57 East Asia 39 45 26 35
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0
566 Total 419 406 430 335 3
Production no
395 North America 503 417 401 517 5
49 South America 47 59 105 64
6,900 European Union - 28 8,763 10,151 8,858 7,660 7,9
62 Other Europe 46 53 52 51
4,375 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,940 4,689 4,765 3,325 3,3
366 Middle East 370 350 350 350 3
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3
0 East Asia 0 0 0 0
40 Oceania 40 20 20 22
12,190 Total 13,712 15,742 14,554 11,992 12,2
Domestic Consumption no
412 North America 514 531 540 590 6
49 South America 47 59 105 64
7,400 European Union - 28 8,700 9,650 8,900 7,800 7,8
76 Other Europe 78 77 66 71
4,255 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,675 4,415 4,740 3,400 3,3
386 Middle East 409 383 375 375 3
2 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3
66 East Asia 37 48 29 35
40 Oceania 40 20 20 22
12,686 Total 13,503 15,186 14,778 12,360 12,3
Ending Stocks no
36 North America 56 51 57 94
0 South America 0 0 0 0
747 European Union - 28 795 1,204 1,080 840 1,1
0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0
374 Former Soviet Union - 12 489 639 528 353 3
24 Middle East 18 18 23 23
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0
5 East Asia 7 4 1 1
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0
1,186 Total 1,365 1,916 1,689 1,311 1,6
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
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HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR
SELECTED REGIONS AND
COUNTRIES
CONTENTS
European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 37
China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 38
Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 39Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 40
Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 44
Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 46
Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 48
Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 49
U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..50
Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 51
World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 52
World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 53
World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 54
D G F / S A &
F
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European Union: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Productio
n
Imports Exports Feed
Dom.
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
147.7 123.959.314.77.15.626.2 2004/05 28.3
132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.1
125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8
120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8
151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4
139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6
136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9
138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5
133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7
144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9
156.5 123.554.535.46.05.826.8 2014/15 13.5
158.0 125.857.032.56.05.926.7 2015/16 19.2
Coarse Grains
169.1 155.2118.94.83.05.033.9 2004/05 25.6
149.5 150.7112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8
140.0 150.6112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7
138.7 157.1121.64.520.34.332.6 2007/08 13.1
164.9 154.2116.15.73.14.834.0 2008/09 21.3
157.6 152.4114.83.02.94.832.9 2009/10 26.3
142.9 154.6116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9
149.9 151.5113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7
145.9 153.1113.77.411.84.731.4 2012/13 13.1
158.9 164.1122.48.616.35.131.4 2013/14 15.5
170.6 163.3121.514.09.15.530.8 2014/15 18.0
151.0 161.4119.610.016.44.930.5 2015/16 13.9
Wheat and Coarse Grains316.8 279.1178.219.510.05.360.1 2004/05 54.0
282.3 278.9175.420.09.44.859.1 2005/06 46.9
265.7 276.8173.118.513.24.757.0 2006/07 30.5
259.5 274.2174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9
316.9 281.8176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7
297.3 278.0172.325.38.25.058.9 2009/10 42.9
279.5 277.5169.429.313.15.056.2 2010/11 28.8
288.1 278.7170.723.314.35.156.0 2011/12 29.3
279.9 272.3164.730.117.14.957.3 2012/13 23.8
303.5 281.4171.440.720.25.357.3 2013/14 25.5
327.2 286.8176.049.415.15.757.5 2014/15 31.5
309.0 287.2176.642.522.45.457.3 2015/16 33.2
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China: Grain Supply and Demand
Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Area
Harvested
Yield Productio
n
Imports Exports Feed
Dom.
Domestic
Consumpti
Ending
Stocks
Wheat
92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8
97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5
108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6
109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1
112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8
115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4
115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1
117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9
121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0
121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3
126.2 116.516.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 76.1
130.2 114.012.01.02.35.424.1 2015/16 93.6
Coarse Grains
138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6
147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.9
159.0 153.5105.05.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0
159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5
172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2
169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3
183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1
198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4
212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4
225.4 223.5157.80.012.45.938.3 2013/14 82.7
222.8 229.1158.80.025.75.739.2 2014/15 102.0
231.6 237.5165.10.116.85.840.2 2015/16 112.8
Wheat and Coarse Grains230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4
245.3 248.6107.05.23.44.851.6 2005/06 71.4
267.4 255.5109.08.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.6
268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6
284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0
284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7
299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2
316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3
333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3
347.3 340.0173.80.919.25.662.4 2013/14 147.9
349.0 345.6174.80.827.65.563.3 2014/15 178.1
361.8 351.5177.11.119.15.664.3 2015/16 206.4
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