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DNV GL © 25 October 2018 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 25 October 2018
ENERGY
PERSPECTIVAS PARA A ENERGIA E FONTE SOLAR FOTOVOLTAICA
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Tchiarles Hilbig, Country Manager, Energy
DNV GL © 25 October 2018
35 GW +Avaliamos mais de 35 GW de projetos eólicos para leilão, TDD M&A e Financiamento.
STORAGECertificação, consultoria, desenvolvimento e testes
2*Our testing, certification and advisory services are independent from each other
EXPERIÊNCIA NO BRASIL
4.5 GW+Avaliamos mais de 4.5 GW de Projetos solares de grandeescala desde
2 GW +2 GW de projetos eólicospassaram pela análise do desempenho da operação
TOP 10
Trabalhamos com as 10 maiores empresas que desenvolvem projetos renováveis no Brasil.
GPMGPM é a nossa plataforma para monitoramento e operação de parques solares
DNV GL © 25 October 20183
A DNV GL TEM UMA PRESENÇA GLOBAL
Serviços de consultoria solar desde 1993
Uma gama completa de serviços de consultoria -ajudando nossos clientes a gerenciar riscos
Equipe global de especialistas em energia solar
Barcelona, Spain
Hamburg, Germany
Bristol, England
Singapore
San Ramon, CAUSA
Melbourne,Australia
Bangalore,India
Shanghai,China
Beijing, China
Bangkok,Thailand
San Diego, CA USA
Dresden, Germany
Arnhem, Netherlands
Dubai
Berkeley, CA USA
Montreal,Canada
Troy, NYUSA
Porto Alegre, Brazil
Santiago, Chile
Yokohama,Japan
Cape Town,South Africa
Paris, France
Querétaro, Mexico
Hovik, Norway
Fortaleza, Brazil
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
DNV GL © 25 October 2018
SERVIÇOS PARA PROJETOS E COMPONENTES SOLARES
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FEASIBILITY ENGINEERING & DEVELOPMENT CONSTRUCTION & COMMISSIONING OPERATION
❯ Feasibility studies
❯ Utility grid integration
❯ Environmental permitting
❯ Component technology reviews
❯ Component qualification testing
❯ Type and component certification of PV inverters
❯ Due diligence / Independent engineering
❯ Owner’s engineering
❯ Energy assessment
❯ Pre-construction engineering
❯ Interconnection support
❯ Project certification
❯ Due diligence/ Independent engineering
❯ Owner's engineering
❯ Construction oversight
❯ System testing and inspection
❯ Project certification and grid code compliance
❯ Declaration of conformity
❯ Module batch testing
❯ Project certification
❯ Performance validation
❯ Resource and energy forecasting
❯ Existing asset consulting, inspections and decommissioning
❯ Refinancing and mergers and acquisitions advisory services
❯ Forensic investigations
❯ Monitoring, control and asset management
❯ Project certification
*Our testing, certification and advisory services are independent from each other
DNV GL © 25 October 20185
Energy Transition Outlook 2018
DNV GL © 25 October 20186
Uma era de energia abundante e
mais limpa está à nossa frente…"“
DNV GL © 25 October 20187
UMA DIVISÃO IGUAL EM 2050
DNV GL © 25 October 20188
PEAK
A DEMANDA DE ENERGIA TEM SEU PICO EM 2035
DNV GL © 25 October 201810
ELETRICIDADE SERÁ MAIS DO QUE O DOBRO
DNV GL © 25 October 201811
VEÍCULOS ELÉTRICOS LEVES
50%
DNV GL © 25 October 201813
PV SOLAR DOMINARÁ A MISTURA DE FONTES
DNV GL © 25 October 2018
Os custos de energia e armazenamento estão em forte declínio
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Erosão significativa dos custos de energia*
Redução forte e contínua dos custos de armazenamento**
Offshore wind Onshore wind
Photovoltaic power generation
43€/MWh47.3 €/MWh65 €/MWh
2018
200 €/KWh
2023
100 €/KWh
tipping point for mass market
2030
62 €/KWh
*Source: Published recent average auction results, Europe, 2017-18 **Source: Bloomberg New Energy Outlook 2018
59€/MWh40 €/MWhAverage Price
DNV GL © 25 October 201815
TW
MAIS DE 5x NOVA CAPACIDADE INSTALADA
DNV GL © 25 October 2018
MIX DE ENERGIA
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Table entries may not add up due to rounding.
Energy carrier 2016 2030 2050
Off-grid PV 0% 0% 0%
Solar thermal 0% 0% 0%
Electricity 18% 25% 46%
Direct heat 0% 0% 0%
Hydrogen 0% 0% 0%
Biomass 16% 14% 12%
Geothermal 0% 0% 0%
Natural gas 18% 20% 19%
Oil 45% 37% 18%
Coal 3% 4% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100%
DNV GL © 25 October 2018
MIX DA GERAÇÃO DE ELETRICIDADE
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Power station type 2016 2030 2050
Non-Fossil 55% 73% 95%
Offshore wind 0% 0% 5%
Onshore wind 3% 8% 16%
Solar PV 0% 7% 36%
Solar thermal 0% 0% 0%
Hydropower 45% 50% 34%
Biomass-fired CHP 0% 0% 0%
Biomass-fired 4% 4% 3%
Geothermal 1% 0% 0%
Nuclear 2% 3% 1%
Fossil 45% 27% 5%
Gas-fired CHP 0% 0% 0%
Gas-fired 26% 14% 2%
Oil-fired 12% 9% 3%
Coal-fired CHP 0% 0% 0%
Coal-fired 7% 4% 0%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Table entries may not add up due to rounding.
DNV GL © 25 October 2018
ELECTRICITY CAPACITY
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Regional installed electricity capacity in GW
2016 2030 2050
Solar PV 4 95 1,154
Wind 18 71 357
Hydropower 183 288 456
Thermal 205 223 289
DNV GL © 25 October 2018
ENERGIA SOLAR - RECURSO
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Recurso solar excepcional
Acúmulo de mais de 20 GW de projetos
participando dos leilões de energia
Iniciativas para combinar energia eólica, solar e
armazenamento.
Melhorias regulatórias para impulsionar mini e
microgeração
Global Horizontal Irradiation KWh/m2/ano
Chile 2921
Mexico 2483
Brazil 2337
United States 2300
United Arab 2275
China 2191
Germany 1225
DNV GL © 25 October 201820
https://eto.dnvgl.com
DNV GL © 25 October 2018
SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
www.dnvgl.com
The trademarks DNV GL®, DNV®, the Horizon Graphic and Det Norske Veritas®
are the properties of companies in the Det Norske Veritas group. All rights reserved.
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Tchiarles Hilbig
+55 51 99296 6560 / 51 3084 1700
Country Manager, Energy Brazil
